[2ndDivisionVet]

Comments?

[DannyTN]

Infinity and beyond...

[jjotto]

Romney won 6 of the 10 Super Tuesday contests in 2012.

[Little Bill]

I live in NH and am active in local politics my guess.

Trump,

Cruz,

Rubio.

[bajabaja]

I don’t see what is under-appreciated about the analysis the author references, 2ndDiv. It can be found by looking at the polling in the caucus and primary states in Jan - March.

It’s the math! Trump and Cruz combined are close to, and sometimes over, the 50% threshold. I understand many states are proportional rather than winner-take-all, but the math still works.

Anyone here want to bet me there will be a brokered convention? “No” is my choice.

The next islamist jihad, here or in Europe, and the math will be even easier.

[trisham]

It’s nice to win New Hampshire, but it’s gone steadily democrat over the years.

[Reno89519]

Trump wins all. I think he wins Iowa as well. Cruz has limited support and people are really under estimating the strength of support for Trump. No way he gets 10-25K crowds everywhere compared to Cruz in the dozens and few hundreds without coming out on top.

Admittedly, the idiotic caucus states are problematic and I will be very happy to see them eventually ended nationwide as they undermine the overall vote in favor of a few fanatics and people willing to play the caucus game, available at the required time, etc. Caucuses too often boost the losers over the state's popular candidates. If Cruz wins, it is despite Trump being more popular. The result is meaningless.

[erkelly]

I disagree a little bit. I think that Trump is going to win Iowa, and win big. Cruz will do well, however.

[Jim from C-Town]

My comment is that if JEB or Rubio where polling at Trump numbers and with his lead,the race would be declared over and everyone else would be forced out by the Establishment.