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To: entropy12

Ps. thanks for the schedule.

Just curious- not doubting you, but interested in how you determined the Feb 23 date. What math you used, being I’m a numbers gal. (Give me something to do with a spreadsheet and I’m happy for days).


187 posted on 04/11/2015 2:00:54 PM PDT by Hardens Hollow (Couldn't find Galt's Gulch, so created our own Harden's Hollow to quit paying the fascist beast.)
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To: Hardens Hollow

The idea is that up until March 1, which has a bunch of states including Texas and Virginia, the earlier smaller contests allow for a conservative candidate to emerge from the pack without the GOP-E candidate getting too far ahead.

Contests March 1 and later will be big money media campaigns.

This is tentative, as I am unaware of whether several southern states are going to have their own Super Tuesday. That would become the date by which one conservative must emerge, or so goes the theory.


188 posted on 04/11/2015 2:13:45 PM PDT by jjotto ("Ya could look it up!")
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To: Hardens Hollow

Oh man..you ask me difficult question there.
My seat of the points calculation is telling me that lots of primaries are still left after Feb 23, 2016. If conservatives do not unite behind one candidate by then, and keep splitting conservative voters, Jeb will be the nominee.

There are not enough conservative voters in the country to place both Governor Walker and Senator Cruz ahead of Jeb Bush. Recall how 2012 turned out? Ricky & Newt fought to the bitter end, splitting conservative voters, and clearing the path for Mitt.


199 posted on 04/11/2015 5:11:22 PM PDT by entropy12 (Real function of economists is to make astrologers look respectable.)
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