Posted on 01/08/2012 1:32:25 PM PST by 2ndDivisionVet
Predictions in politics and government are a fool’s game. The systems involved are chaotic and complex. The players change motive or exit the game unexpectedly. Choices are made for reasons that are often hidden, illogical or against one’s own self interest.
Despite this, last year I went out on a limb with 10 perilous predictions for 2011.
Surprisingly, eight of the ten guesses are generally correct, albeit some achieving the predicted result in different ways than envisaged. For instance, Stephen Harper did get his majority, but at the expense of the Liberals, rather than through NDP losses.
Gas prices failed to rise. China is certainly more wobbly than a year ago, but Beijing is managing to contain the evidence of that better than expected. And the biggest story of the year – the collapse of multiple Middle Eastern dictatorships – wasn’t on my radar at all.
It is incredibly unlikely that my guesses will be as reliable for 2012, but here goes anyway. Some of these are comfortable picks (Romney, Redford, polarization) while others are long-shots (Huckabee, Iran) or tough calls (Obama, Europe.)
1. Mitt Romney will be the Republican nominee
The post-caucus coverage from Iowa seems to say Mitt Romney had a bad day, when the opposite is true.
The Iowa caucus is only worth a total of 25 delegates for the Republican nomination, and winning it is essentially meaningless in predicting the nominee. What it does is serve to winnow the field of its pretenders. With a fifth-place finish, Rick Perry is seriously damaged, and throwing everything into South Carolina. A fourth-place finish robbed Newt Gingrich of his momentum and leaves him in the race essentially as an anti-Romney spoiler. Ron Paul is not viable....
(Excerpt) Read more at theglobeandmail.com ...
I think the only reason Huckabee did not run this time was because of the cold blooded murder of four cops by the killer he helped get out of jail.
Romney and his people will know this so I don’t think VP is on serious offer, but they will use him for as long as they can until he figures it out or they are done with him.
Did you forget to take your meds?
An extra helping of excrement for the excrement sandwich? please don’t let it be so. I don’t think I can choke down another.
Do I need some kind of meds to be able to spell "Mitt" correctly?
There are lots of things I don't like.
I can spell all of them. How about you?
I love Huck even more after spending two months on the campaign trail in IA & SC in ‘07 and ‘08.
BUT!
My prediction is..
Romney=RINO, Paul=Crazy, Perry=Empty Charm, Huntsman=Democrat, Santorum=The next VP, Newt Gingrich=The Perfect Choice : )
I love Huck even more after spending two months on the campaign trail in IA & SC in ‘07 and ‘08.
BUT!
My prediction is..
Romney=RINO, Paul=Crazy, Perry=Empty Charm, Huntsman=Democrat, Santorum=The next VP, Newt Gingrich=The Perfect Choice : )
Oh and Tebow’s Broncos win their NFL playoff game today!!!!
Put down your crack pipe, dude.
If Willard “$50 Abortioner” Flopney is the nominee, Obama wins re-election rather easily..Period!
Huck has NOT endorsed Willard. Huck kept Willard AWAY from the nomination last cycle.
And it was PERSONAL!
Bingo! Bingo!
To me, the obvious pick for Romney is Rick Perry. From the south, evangelical, tout the executive experience, but won’t outshine Mitt. Why do you think Perry got back in? To dilute Newt and Santorum. Mark it down.
Huckabee???? Yuk....Please I’m still dreaming of VP Rubio(:
I hope you are looking into a crystal clear crystal ball because I can live with what you are seeing.
The reason you need meds is to make you behave like a decent human. Unfortunately, I think that drug has yet to be invented. We are stuck with you, the jerk.
Don’t get into a pissing match with me.
Why not? Have you an infection that makes it uncomfortable for you?
I’m a jerk because I don’t think “Mitt” is spelled with an “L”?
Wow.
You’re not well.
Where's the Captain Obvious graphic when you need it?
LOL You’re right.
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