First, I was not aware that Ms. Palin had announced she was not running for office (tho I agree she will do so eventually).
Second, while I agree with Mr. Cain on most all of his positions, he seems to be an almost invisible "candidate".
In your opinion, how does he gain and hold national attention? I fear he'll remain invisible and will never be able to capture the nomination.
I agree Palin probably won’t run, and would have trouble against Obama (but I’ll supporter her as the nominee.
Cain, however, gets to the nomination basically by being the last man standing if Palin doesn’t run.
The RINOs/Moderates will split the Establishment vote so much that Cain, as the only “real” conservative in the race (except perhaps Santorum who might get a little early support before dropping out) will, by default, end up on top.
I posted a more thorough analysis a few days ago.
Heres how Cain could get the nomination:
-Huck doesnt run - CONFIRMED
-Palin doesnt run (more likely than many care to admit)
-Trump doesnt run (??????)
-Newt, Daniels, and Romney are in, along with Crazy Uncle Ron Paul and Herman Cain, plus Santorum and Pawlenty and a few others nobody cares about.
Romney with his recent comments on healthcare doesnt have the strength he expects, and basically runs neck and neck with Newt. Pawlenty and Daniels are behind the two, but the RINO/establishment vote basically splits between the four of them, all four failing to break 12% as a result.
Those looking for outsider experience go mostly to Cain. Social conservatives go to Santorum initially, but Santorum makes a surprisingly weak showing in Iowa and drops out.
Cain picks up most SoCons by default with Huck, Santorum, and Palin out of the race. Deficit hawks split between Cain and Crazy Uncle Ron.
Those looking for business savvy go 50/50 to Romney and Cain, but not enough to give Mitt the win. Cain places 2nd in Iowa, second in NH and first in SC.
Cain wins nomination.
Since she hasn't given up her contract with Fox News, I was under the impression that she's not running. However, I could be wrong; she hasn't made an announcement.
As for Herman Cain, I'd never heard of him until the May 5th debate; he got his first national exposure then, and has since been making the rounds of TV and radio interviews. As time passes, he'll get the full-fledged attack treatment from the liberal media, who will feel the need to destroy any black Republican candidate, so he will certainly become nationally known!