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Why Trump is leading and what it really means
The Daily Caller ^ | April 16, 2011 | John Ziegler, director of Media Malpractice

Posted on 04/16/2011 12:17:45 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet

After the 2008 election, I spent an enormous amount of time and money documenting the media-induced ignorance of Obama voters for my documentary film, “Media Malpractice: How Obama Got Elected and Palin Was Targeted.” The video I shot of Obama voters on Election Day has been seen by over 2.5 million people (not including millions more via television coverage) on YouTube.

The two scientific polls I commissioned to back up the video proved beyond any shadow of a doubt that Obama voters were frighteningly misinformed about basic facts like which party controlled Congress. While McCain voters weren’t exactly “A” social studies students, at least they fared significantly better.

I have always believed that, in general, Republicans are far more informed than Democrats. I thought this was true mostly because very few people are born “conservative” and therefore some sort of education process has to take place for one to emerge from the natural human state of being a liberal.

However, the emergence of Donald Trump as the sudden “frontrunner” for the Republican presidential nomination has made me question just about everything I thought I knew about GOPers.

How in the world a soulless self-promoter who has declared bankruptcy several times, defaulted on huge loans, claimed that George W. Bush was “evil” and the worst president of all time, had a pro-life conversion that makes Mitt Romney’s seem credible, praised Obama in 2008, recently donated to liberal Democrats, once supported universal healthcare, possesses no apparent knowledge of basic civics, already threatened to run as an independent and ensure Obama’s reelection, and probably doesn’t even have the money to self-finance a legitimate campaign, got to this position literally overnight is one of the most depressing developments in the history of the party.

While I am not yet panicked that somehow Trump will be the eventual nominee (though after watching Obama win in 2008, my view of what is politically possible has expanded enough to at least include that among the theoretically possible outcomes), there is no doubt that even if Trump never actually gets in the race, he has already had a profound and permanent impact on it.

Before I get into what Trump’s rocketing to the top of the polls really means, I wish to examine how this has happened.

Obviously, the primary reason that this has occurred is that we have become such a bizarrely celebrity-obsessed culture (and therefore our ratings-driven media is totally celebrity-driven) that if one is well known enough, then literally nothing is off the table. It is almost as if we have created an unofficial class of royalty whose members are automatically taken seriously in almost any endeavor simply because they are one of the “chosen people.”

What makes this development particularly offensive is that there isn’t any distinction between fame and infamy anymore. Being well known is just about all that matters, regardless of how or why it happened.

So when Trump approached CPAC with the proposal to speak (for what would become an episode of his Golf Channel reality show), he already had at least half of the credentials needed to qualify for a spot on the podium: He was famous enough to “trump” his extremely questionable “conservatism.” While obviously I can’t prove it, based on what I know about how things are done at CPAC (as a former co-sponsor), I would be surprised if some sort of “donation” from Trump didn’t smooth over any lingering doubts that they may have had about handing over the conference to such an obvious fraud.

How Trump caught fire

Instead of being ignored or banished to media Siberia as anyone else who has tried to promote “birtherism” has been, Trump, thanks to his celebrity and the perceived power of his alleged fortune, was able to actually make the issue seem legitimate. This gave him a political base with which to make noise in the polls.

Once the polls started to move in his direction (even though his “supporters” were probably too busy constructing tinfoil hats to know much about the real Trump), this created the perception of a “movement” and “momentum.” This of course was all the media (thanks again to the fact that Trump is famous and therefore ratings friendly) needed to rationalize covering him as if he was legitimate, which of course further increased his standing.

The most stunning example of this phenomenon was when Sean Hannity gave most of two episodes of his Fox News show this week to his “Trump Interview.” The conservative talk show host sat on his hands and watched (no doubt distracted by thoughts of how good his ratings would be those nights without having to do much work at all) as Trump made numerous statements that would have caused someone who truly cares about who will be the Republican presidential nominee to immediately take Trump down. Instead, I have no doubt that Trump, now armed with a seal of at least “no disapproval” from a rock star like Hannity, will continue to rise in the same opinion polls he is already routinely leading.

Trump is now in a position where he could be extremely dangerous. Conservatives are aching for someone with the gonads to take it to Obama and really shake things up in Washington if he happens to win. Many are so fed up that they are willing to jump on almost any bandwagon that even appears to be headed in that direction, even if the driver, like Trump, is totally unreliable. Others have given up to the point where they may be backing Trump simply for the entertainment value (heck, if the ship is sinking you might as well make sure there is some fun music playing on the deck as it goes down).

Trump will now start to attract the non-crazy crowd and will be so formidable in the polls that he is here to stay until/unless he says he isn’t running, or he inevitably/hopefully gets killed off in Iowa (can a guy who doesn’t like to shake hands really compete in Iowa?!). Because he has no substance and his supporters don’t seem to care, Trump will not be vulnerable to the standard political attacks. Only losing big or not running at all can stop him now.

Why Trump has already hurt the nomination prospects of Palin, Romney and Pawlenty

Will he run? Who knows? But he is certainly putting on an extremely convincing act that he is (why else the pro-life conversion and the sudden embrace of Christianity?), and thanks to these poll numbers, he almost seems forced into making a go of it. Regardless, his presence has already had a potentially decisive influence on the race’s outcome.

There is no doubt that, in different ways, Trump has had a deep and negative impact on the nomination prospects of Sarah Palin, Mitt Romney and Tim Pawlenty.

No one knows if Palin is even running (for the record, I am still pretty sure she has not yet ruled it out), but Trump has attracted many of the “give me someone with balls and the celebrity to use them” crowd that might naturally be Palin supporters. Whether they would return to her if she were to announce is unknown, but the fact that they have at least temporarily abandoned her in polls saps her cause of energy and leverage.

Obviously Trump also steals the mantle of “successful business guy” that would otherwise go to Romney. Since Mitt’s entire strategy is based on getting to 35 percent and outlasting everyone else with his cash, Trump’s emergence is a deathblow to him.

There is also little doubt that Trump has sucked a lot of the oxygen out of the air which would ordinarily go to Pawlenty. Pawlenty is closest to actually announcing and is most in need of an increase in recognition, which could easily spark a victorious run based on the notion that he possesses a unique biography that can work in both a primary and a general election.

There is an adage that a society tends to get the government it deserves. If the same is true of political parties and their presidential nominees, based on how easily at least a quarter of Republicans have already been duped into supporting Donald Trump, four more years of Obama might actually be better than we deserve.

*******

John Ziegler is currently a documentary filmmaker who most recently released a movie on the 2008 election called, “Media Malpractice… How Obama Got Elected and Palin Was Targeted.” He has also been in radio talk show host in Los Angeles, Philadelphia, Louisville and Nashville. Ziegler has written two books and has appeared live on numerous national television shows including the Today Show, The View, Fox News Channel, CNN and MSNBC.


TOPICS: Issues; Parties; Polls; State and Local
KEYWORDS: 2012; certifigate; eligibility; naturalborncitizen; obama; palin; pawlenty; romney; sarahpalin; trump
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To: Frantzie
Nor should she. Trump is clearing out some rat underbrush and going right after Barry. Sarah has no need to complain about Trump, that will come much later, if necessary.
41 posted on 04/16/2011 12:53:15 PM PDT by JPG ("GAME ON" - Sarah Palin)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

you know what? if people don’t like or trust trump? that’s okay. but can we need to support him insofar as he’s going after obama— in doing so, hopefully he can get other GOP candidates to get some balls. cuz right now, they’re all being way too nice to obama, imo.


42 posted on 04/16/2011 12:53:47 PM PDT by exist
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

The media and the Democrats picked McCain for us and they are probably backing Trump. As long as they pick a weak candidate for us and glamorize whomever the Democrat candidate is they have a good chance of getting their way.

The Media is the Democrats. (I know media is plural but we used to use The Press as singular and I intend to do the same with Media. They are all in lock-step.)


43 posted on 04/16/2011 12:54:21 PM PDT by Mind-numbed Robot (I retain the right to be inconsistent, contradictory and even flat-out wrong!)
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To: Eva

[I cannot even estimate the number of Democrats who voted for Obama that are now telling me that they love Trump because he is standing up to Obama]

But those same Rats would vote for Obama over Sarah Palin. Why is that? I believe it is because they let the media lead them.


44 posted on 04/16/2011 12:54:25 PM PDT by KansasGirl
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To: exist

Are you including Gov. Sarah Palin in that grouping?


45 posted on 04/16/2011 12:54:40 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet (A thorough knowledge of the Bible is worth more than a college education. TR)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
"Comments?"
Yes. We are screwed.
46 posted on 04/16/2011 12:57:58 PM PDT by Marine_Uncle (Honor must be earned....Duncan Hunter Sr. for POTUS.)
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To: JPG

I would not be suprised if Donald is doing the mine clearing for Palin or the GOP. He has the guts to take the job on. He knows America is at extreme risk. He may be bluster, blowhard, whatever but he is a patriotic American.


47 posted on 04/16/2011 12:59:39 PM PDT by Frantzie (HD TV - Total Brain-washing now in High Def. 3-D Coming soon)
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To: ChinaGotTheGoodsOnClinton

[However, if Trump doesn’t get the nomination I am afraid he will make a 3rd party run]

If he does that, he wants Obama to win.


48 posted on 04/16/2011 1:00:53 PM PDT by KansasGirl
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

nope sarah palin was awesome today. bachmann usually is. cain is good. but would you agree romney, pawlenty, daniels types have been a bit too nice to obama?


49 posted on 04/16/2011 1:01:05 PM PDT by exist
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To: KansasGirl

Some would and some wouldn’t. Some of the Democrats that I know, subscribe to the adage, fool me once, shame on you, fool me twice, shame on me.

My brother now detests Obama, and if he could not bring himself to vote for Sarah Palin, he would vote third party or stay home. Others are just dingy, shallow thinking party flacks.

It didn’t hurt my brother’s thinking that landing a contract for a Super Wallmart, saved the company that he works for.


50 posted on 04/16/2011 1:01:48 PM PDT by Eva
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To: KansasGirl

Some would and some wouldn’t. Some of the Democrats that I know, subscribe to the adage, fool me once, shame on you, fool me twice, shame on me.

My brother now detests Obama, and if he could not bring himself to vote for Sarah Palin, he would vote third party or stay home. Others are just dingy, shallow thinking party flacks.

It didn’t hurt my brother’s thinking that landing a contract for a Super Wallmart, saved the company that he works for.


51 posted on 04/16/2011 1:01:51 PM PDT by Eva
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To: KansasGirl

Some would and some wouldn’t. Some of the Democrats that I know, subscribe to the adage, fool me once, shame on you, fool me twice, shame on me.

My brother now detests Obama, and if he could not bring himself to vote for Sarah Palin, he would vote third party or stay home. Others are just dingy, shallow thinking party flacks.

It didn’t hurt my brother’s thinking that landing a contract for a Super Wallmart, saved the company that he works for.


52 posted on 04/16/2011 1:01:57 PM PDT by Eva
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To: Morpheus2009
I agree . Trump is helping out in more ways than one . He is pounding Princess O on a daily basis . O had to run under Stephys skirt on ABC to try and fight back on the birther deal. He looked weak and spouted some jive about horns on his head. Trump is a huge personality , his actions point out to us how old and stale these second raters who are toying with a 2012 run are . I am not saying he ill win the Presidency , he will however stir it up and speak out which is more than anyone else will do . Pubs 2012 front-runners , Mia .
53 posted on 04/16/2011 1:04:57 PM PDT by fantom (,)
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To: KansasGirl

Trump would be a great nominee for the Democrat Party.

Pro- abortion
Pro- Amnesty
Anti 2nd Amendment
Pro ObamaCare
Anti Reduced Spending (ripped Paul Ryans plan)
Pro Eminent Domain for beg developers to steal citizens houses
Pro Harry Reid
Pro Rahm Emanuel
Anti free trade

He is the perfect Democrat


54 posted on 04/16/2011 1:06:27 PM PDT by kentramsay
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To: AmericanVictory
Here is something else the Establishment GOP/DNC/DEMS can are chewing on.

Suppose Trump wins the presidency and we still don't know anymore about Obama's made up past. Do they think Trump is going to stop his investigation of Obama? I don't think so. They fear Trump will do a government internal investigation and will likely find tons of dirt along with a conspiracy to commit, obstruction of justice, and possibly treason. They will live in fear of a Trump Administration.

55 posted on 04/16/2011 1:06:32 PM PDT by Red Steel
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To: kentramsay

Trump the perfect democrat , Princess O might disagree .


56 posted on 04/16/2011 1:09:02 PM PDT by fantom (,)
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To: Logical me

Well with all due respect to the naysayers Romney, Palin and TPaw have all had ample opportunity to demand that Obama present proper credentials to prove eligibility. They have likewise all had ample opportunity to demand troops on the border and I mean armed troops actually patrolling. They have all had time to present ideas about how to deal with OPEC and the Chinese. To date I have not heard much out of any of them.

Enter Donald Trump who will sit down on camera and just speak like the rest of us sit around in our living rooms speaking on these issues, wishing someone would do something. I can remember Trump several years ago saying that we should send private businessmen to negotiate our oil deals with the Arabs. I thought he was right then and I think he’s right now. He’s right that the Chinese rip us off and we don’t produce anything anymore. When you are right you are right.

Sooo if these prospective GOP candidates continue to sit on their hands and are too timid to say what they think and put forth their ideas on how to fix the problems then Trump is going to blow them all away and probably get the nomination.

I remember when Ronald Reagan was running for President. The smear machine was in full bloom. I liked the guy but all you heard in the press and from the left was he is too old, he’s not a deep thinker, he’s just a B movie actor, he’s not too bright, he used to be a Democrat blah, blah, blah. He turned out to be great.

Donald Trump is not a conservative. He is a middle of the road republican and a raging capitalist. He’s not going to push to overturn Roe v Wade or campaign to stop gay marriage. But he will probably be able to create jobs and I’m sure he will drill baby drill. I’m also sure he won’t bow to the King of Saudi Arabia and the Mayor of Tampa and he will not stand up overseas and give a speech about how we are a Muslim nation. 4 years of The Donald might not be so bad.


57 posted on 04/16/2011 1:09:34 PM PDT by Georgia Girl 2 (The only purpose of a pistol is to fight your way back to the rifle you should never have dropped.)
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To: kentramsay

That’s not true.

Trump is Pro marriage, Pro life, anti ObamaCare, and Pro Business, Pro Fair Trade, and Pro American.


58 posted on 04/16/2011 1:10:07 PM PDT by Red Steel
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To: exist

That’s what RINOs do.


59 posted on 04/16/2011 1:11:59 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet (A thorough knowledge of the Bible is worth more than a college education. TR)
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To: Red Steel

Trump is not conservative and is a joke. How many of his businesses have gone bankrupt?


60 posted on 04/16/2011 1:13:15 PM PDT by driftdiver (I could eat it raw, but why do that when I have a fire.)
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