As increased taxes and harsher restrictions are imposed upon cigarette sales, I predict it won't be long before street gangs start dealing in them. This will soon be followed by "tobacco-related" slayings. And more restrictive controls, and so on and so forth........
Are you the 1 tin soldier that managed to walk away?
Seriously, you are probably right in the long term.
The UN, through their health arm WHO, is working on eventually outlawing tobacco all together. When you prohibit something that has been commonly used for centuries there will almost ALWAYS be a black market.