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I have the feeling that this poll might be a little different when the coverage of Whoreacle and its buyout of Davis is known by more people.

Since this Whoreacle story basically broke over the weekend, even conservatives in Kali were not aware of it and the scope.

We need to get the word out.

1 posted on 05/06/2002 5:29:35 AM PDT by Grampa Dave
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To: Ernest at the Beach
Your morning news to go with your morning coffee and Kali OJ!
2 posted on 05/06/2002 5:30:23 AM PDT by Grampa Dave
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To: Grampa Dave
If Simon can't win in this environment, he's an awful candidate.
4 posted on 05/06/2002 5:40:32 AM PDT by GraniteStateConservative
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To: Grampa Dave
I have the feeling that this poll might be a little different when the coverage of Whoreacle and its buyout of Davis is known by more people.

I agree wholeheartedly.

Go Simon!

10 posted on 05/06/2002 6:42:28 AM PDT by Gophack
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To: Grampa Dave; Liz
"With seven months to the November general election, in which Davis faces GOP candidate Bill Simon, one particularly ominous finding of the new Field Poll, DiCamillo says, is that registered voters are much more critical of Davis -- disapproving of his work in office by a strong 55 percent to 39 percent margin..."
This is EXCELLENT news, particularly in view of the huge "pro-RAT" bias built in to the Field poll's flawed methodology. See, from:
Field Poll Shows Incumbent Governor Davis In Trouble
Bill Simon for Governor | 4/27/02 | Staff
Posted on 4/28/02 1:55 PM Pacific by Liz
"-- The Field Poll is different from professional campaign polls because Field calls all California residents randomly and asks them if they are registered to vote and if they are likely to vote. This samples too large a group of voters - including many voters who will never vote and have not been paying attention to the race. Most professional polls exclude these unlikely voters until they express some greater sentiment for voting. In addition, casual voters will tend to forget who the challenger is and default to undecided against an incumbent they know and dislike.

The poll further confirms suspicions that career politician and incumbent Governor Gray Davis, whose Administration has been rocked by energy, education and budget failures, continues to see his re-election prospects rejected by Californians. Governors who poll less than 50% in polls after the primary almost always lose. Despite the methodological bias in the Field Poll, it shows that we are in an excellent position to overtake Davis once our advertising campaign begins..."


13 posted on 05/06/2002 6:47:10 AM PDT by RonDog
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To: Grampa Dave
Davis was so successful in picking pockets of various small groups, he thought he could get away with picking everyone's pocket at once. Finally people started realizing that their wallets were missing.
15 posted on 05/06/2002 6:48:02 AM PDT by kickme
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To: Grampa Dave
Bump w/thanks for the flag...
17 posted on 05/06/2002 6:51:43 AM PDT by eureka!
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To: wcdukenfield
More good news from the left coast, land of Benito Davis!
20 posted on 05/06/2002 7:58:59 AM PDT by Grampa Dave
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To: Grampa Dave;Brad's Gramma;patriciaruth;NordP
INFO BUMP
21 posted on 05/06/2002 8:19:16 AM PDT by homeschool mama
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To: Grampa Dave
Hi Grandpa Dave. Can you tell me why Davis is 17 points ahead in the up-coming election? I no longer live in California and am astounded that his numbers are so high! Sandy Price
30 posted on 05/06/2002 8:46:23 AM PDT by Esjay
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To: Grampa Dave; Ernest at the beach
The important thing is that we don't become complacent between now and November. We have SIX MONTHS before the election ... that's a along time to "forget" all the bad things that Davis has done, or to "accept" them (not us, but the voters). Sometimes when this garbage comes out too early, people tend to minimize the scandals by election day.

Fortunately for Simon (unfortunately for the rest of us), there is still a lot of room for mistakes from Davis' operation. We have a projected $22 billion budget deficit (net loss of $35 billion, thank you Mr. Davis); we have billions of dollars in long-term energy contracts taxpayers are still on the line for; and we have Oracle-gate, which won't be going away overnight.

Davis has got to go. He's corrupt and cares about one thing and one thing only: power. That's why fundraising is his favorite and more important activity.

Dump Davis! Go Simon!

37 posted on 05/06/2002 9:50:33 AM PDT by Gophack
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To: Grampa Dave
-- Republicans have an especially unfavorable view of Davis, with a whopping 69 percent disapproving, and just 27 percent approving. Even the majority of Democrats, 53 percent, disapprove of the governor's job performance, the poll showed.

I know we're a little more stringent in our tastes here at FR than most, but is it plausible that 27% of Republicans don't disapprove of Red D.

41 posted on 05/06/2002 10:06:18 AM PDT by calebcar
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To: Grampa Dave;Liz;Ernest_at_the_Beach
Gray Davis

Name an 'Income-Bent' Governor!
46 posted on 05/06/2002 10:24:56 AM PDT by d14truth
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To: Grampa Dave
sample by telephone of 1,021 California adults, was taken in late April.

Is this an extension of the Field poll taken April 19-25 with 546 likely voters? Or, do the 1021-546=475 other adults not count as "likely voters?"

It is confusing when the results of one poll are released twice, once at the end of April and again ("new Field Poll .... released today") in the middle of the Oracle scandal a week later. (Perhaps they hurriedly publicized the 14-point lead among the 546 "likely voters" before they actually released the poll?)

61 posted on 05/06/2002 6:15:19 PM PDT by heleny
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To: Grampa Dave
More results from a Field Poll of 705 "registered voters" in California, also taken April 19-25, 2002, from the San Diego Union Tribune.
(Why does Field keep having different numbers of participants for this one poll? First it's 546 people who claim to be "likely voters", then it's 1021 adults, and now it's 705 supposedly "registered voters.")

Poll: Most Californians favor [first trimester] abortion rights, gun controls

By Alexa Haussler
ASSOCIATED PRESS

May 8, 2002

SACRAMENTO – A new survey shows Californians' feelings about some of the most emotional political issues have remained steady for the past decade: Most favor abortion rights, gun control and capital punishment.

The Field Poll released Wednesday comes as Democratic Gov. Gray Davis attempts to display those issues as evidence his GOP challenger, businessman Bill Simon, is out of touch with voters.

According to the survey of registered voters, a majority of California voters are classified as "pro-choice" on abortion and support greater gun ownership restrictions. However, the poll found that there are sharp differences in opinion between Davis and Simon supporters.

The survey also found that voters who said they were undecided about their choice in the November gubernatorial election held abortion attitudes closer to those held by Davis.

On abortion, the survey shows virtually no change in public opinion in California. Sixty-three percent of registered voters say they approve of allowing abortion in the first trimester of pregnancy, the same proportion as in 1996. In the current survey, 28 percent said they disapprove, while 9 percent had no opinion.

On gun control, voters were evenly split about whether stronger gun control laws reduce violence. But 55 percent said they believe imposing greater controls on gun ownership was more important than protecting the right of Americans to own guns, which was considered more important by 39 percent.

The survey also found that 72 percent of voters favor the death penalty – an issue upon which Davis and Simon agree.

When divided into groups of Davis and Simon supporters, 82 percent of those who back the governor said they favor abortion. That compares to 41 percent of Simon's supporters.

Three quarters of Davis supporters said they back Medi-Cal payments for abortions, while 41 percent of Simon voters said they support the public funding of the procedure.

The telephone survey of 705 California registered voters was conducted between April 19 and April 25. It has a margin of error of plus or minus 3.8 percentage points.


67 posted on 05/09/2002 1:44:10 AM PDT by heleny
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