Remember, Davis will get 100% of the deceased citizens vote and probably 95% of the nursing home vote and 100% of the usually massive illegal aliens vote, not to mention the disenfranchised felon vote. Simon probably needs to get 60-65% of the legal vote to win.
Not to mention the deceased democrats vote, the deceased illegal alien vote, the potential illegal alien vote (those who are planning to cross the border but have not done so), and the duplicate illegal alien vote (those who vote at two different polling stations). These votes have been known to swing a few elections in LA.