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THE PRICE OF FREEDOM AND DEMOCRACY: WHY CHINA WILL NOT BE THE GREATEST ECONOMIC POWER BY 2015
November 6, 2001 | American_Patriot_For_Democracy

Posted on 11/06/2001 5:10:12 PM PST by American_Patriot_For_Democracy

This essay is being written to all those China-lovers and sympathizers; to all those who declare that China will (and maybe even should) eclipse the United States as a world power and economic powerhouse. China is loaded with many serious problems. It's "destiny" is not exactly a sure thing, and it is not necessarily headed for the dominant economic power of Asia. Its arrogance is symptomatic of Communist contempt for all democratic nations such as Israel, India, the United States, Britain, Australia, and the other NATO powers. China is not out of the woods yet, by any means.

Let's review some of the serious issues facing China today:

(1) The Communist Chinese Legal system is one of the most primitive and juvenile systems known in the world; it is a complex amalgamation of Confucian and Taoist custom, interspersed with statute, largely criminal law and rudimentary civil code that has only been in effect since January 1, 1987. New legal codes have been in effect since January 1, 1980. Constant and major efforts are being made to improve the civil, administrative, criminal, and commercial law. The concept of "stare decisis," i.e., that the law should remain the same, except for an occasional re-evaluation of precedent, is totally foreign there. In other words, the judicial system in China does not make any cogent sense. If any business needed some type of legal resolution, that convoluted judicial system would choke them. Not to mention that in any arbitration situation betwen China and another country doing business with them, the People's Republic of China ("PRC") could intervene, at any time, and influence the business decision to the adverse consequences of the unlucky company which did business with them in the first place;

(2) The Falungong sect and the China Democratic Party are considered serious threats and potential rivals to the People's Republic of China, and could seriously harm the stability of the government there, or any of the foreign businesses which find themselves unlucky enough to invest money there;

(3) Although in late 1978 the Chinese leadership began moving the economy from a sluggish Soviet-style centrally planned economy to a more "market-oriented system." The authorities switched to a system of household responsibility in agriculture in place of the old collectivization, but instead of democratizing the government, Communist China instead increased the authority of local officials and plant managers in industry, permitted a wide variety of small-scale enterprise in services and light manufacturing, even while declaring that they had "opened the economy" to increased foreign trade and investment. On the darker side, the leadership has often experienced, in its hybrid system, the worst results of socialism (bureaucracy and lassitude) and of capitalism (windfall gains and stepped-up inflation). Thus only a handful of the political and moneyed "elite" control the entire infrastructure of the PRC, over one billion people. And they literally have the power of life and death over everybody there. Beijing thus has periodically backtracked, having to retighten central controls at numerous and unstable intervals. The government has had a hellish time (a) collecting revenues due from provinces, businesses, and individuals; (b) reducing corruption and other economic crimes; and (c) even keeping afloat the large state-owned enterprises, many of which have been shielded from competition by subsidies, and have been losing the ability to pay full wages and pensions. From 80 to 120 million surplus rural workers are adrift between the villages and the cities, many subsisting through part-time and low-paying jobs. Popular resistance, changes in central policy, and loss of authority by rural cadres have weakened China's population control program, which is essential to maintaining growth in living standards. Another long-term threat to continued rapid economic growth is the rapid and massive levels of deterioration in the environment, notably air pollution, soil erosion, and the steady fall of the water table, especially in the north. China continues to lose arable land because of erosion and economic development. Weakness in the global economy in 2001 could cripple growth in exports;

(4) Communist China has as many as 16% of its population below the poverty line (2000 esimate) - I thought Communism was supposed to take care of that completely? I mean, you ARE giving up all of your basic and fundamental human rights in exchange for economic security, aren't you?

(5) The Communist Chinese labor force is by far one of the least skilled forces in the entire world, and will be unable to compete with the modern technologically savvy Western world. - by occupation, the PRC forcibly divides its people into agriculture 50%, industry 24%, and services 26%. Where are your techies? Your geeks? Your innovators? Your artists? Answer: they are suppressed, jailed, murdered, or "re-educated;"

(6) The unemployment rate in the PRC is staggering for a Communist nation that supposedly can cure all of society's ills: urban unemployment is roughly 18%, and there is substantial unemployment and underemployment in rural areas;

(7) Although China's exports are $232 billion a year, it's imports clock in at about $197 billion. You may think that's just fabulous, but wait until you get a load of the fact that Communist China's external debt is a whopping $162 billion. Guess that eats into their profits a little bit, huh;

(8) The PRC's roadways are still primitive - highway total is 1.4 million km, but the paved ones are only 271,300 km, while unpaved dirt roads dominate the landscape at 1,128,700 km;

(9) The PRC seems to have a military beef with nearly everyone. They have more enemies than any country I have ever heard of, and each one of them wants a piece of China's hide. Some examples of these China-hating countries include (a) India - most of the boundary with India is in dispute, (b) Russia - there is a dispute over at least two small sections of the boundary with Russia that remains to be settled, despite a 1997 boundary agreement, (c) Tajikstan, where large portions of the boundary with Tajikistan are indefinite, (d) North Korea, where a 33-km section of boundary with North Korea in the Paektu-san (mountain) area is indefinite, (e) Malaysia, Philippines, Taiwan, Vietnam, and possibly Brunei involved in a complex dispute over the Spratly Islands, (f) Vietnam (man you are going to love those guys) with disputes in maritime boundary agreements in the Gulf of Tonkin, awaiting ratification, (g) the Paracel Islands occupied by China, but claimed by Vietnam and Taiwan, (h) claims by Japanese-administered Senkaku-shoto (Senkaku Islands/Diaoyu Tai), and finally, (i) Taiwan, which detests China;

(10) Another wonderful problem the PRC faces is the illicit drug market. The PRC is a major trans-shipment point for heroin produced in the Golden Triangle, producing massive criminal activity and murder, and Communist China has an unprecedented and growing domestic drug abuse problem. The PRC is also the world's leader in the supply of such illegal substances as chemical precursors and methamphetamine.

Conclusion: I do not think China will emerge as the major power of Asia by 2015, as is being predicted by many liberals, communists, socialists, opportunists, and other academic "schlup-schwanzes.". But it is important that we, as Americans, remain vigilant, and understand that it depends upon us, the consumer, to boycott Chinese products and services, and to force our democratically elected politicians, as well as our overfed and overpaid corporate CEOs, to do the same. If we need a consumer market, and if the powers that be respond with, "labor is cheaper in China," then counter with, "Why not India?" India is democratic, free, religiously, racially, and culturally diverse and tolerant, also has roughly 1 bilion people as in China, is closely allied to the United States, is a military powerhouse, shares borders with our greatest threats, Islamic Fundamentalism and Chinese Communism, has a clear common law based legal system, is predominantly English speaking, is technologically advanced, secular, and was once a British colony like Australia and the United States. There are Christians, Jews, Catholics, Hindus, Buddhists, and Muslims there, and they have lived relatively peacefully together for thousands of years. It has a deep and strong friendship with the State of Israel, and is struggling right now to make democracy work. It is the duty of every red-blooded and patriotic American to support them in their struggle, because their struggle is almost exactly the same as ours.

Freedom is not free, it requires constant upkeep and maintenance. If we no longer fight to maintain those freedoms, both physically and economically, we run the risk of no longer remaining free.

God bless the U.S.A.


TOPICS: Breaking News; Editorial; Your Opinion/Questions
KEYWORDS: china; india; unitedstates; wot
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To: Sunnyvale CA Eng.
Yah. Bad news watching manufacturing jobs go down the tubes. I'm glad it's not my area, nor will it be my children's if I can help it.
41 posted on 12/02/2001 4:27:29 PM PST by WriteOn
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To: Black Jade
"Some of those kids who are victims of smuggling rings, like Ng Lap Seng's, end up in Macao brothels, some end up in brothels other places, such as Canada and the US. Some may end up sold as "brides."

Kind of like what happens to "escorts" traveling overseas to those foreign places. It is not enough to just simply understand their culture and language. I feel for those children who get caught up in these smuggling operations.

42 posted on 12/02/2001 5:40:54 PM PST by goldilucky
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Comment #43 Removed by Moderator

To: Black Jade
I believe that there a lot more of those women in those Macao brothels held against their will than we realize. It's just down right criminal. Especially, when the embassy for those held against their will won't come to their aid when their passports are taken from them by these criminal pimping operations.
44 posted on 12/03/2001 11:14:11 PM PST by goldilucky
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Comment #45 Removed by Moderator

To: Black Jade
bump to the top!
46 posted on 12/05/2001 10:49:11 PM PST by goldilucky
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To: goldilucky
BUMP
47 posted on 12/11/2001 3:52:51 PM PST by BERZERKER
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To: BERZERKER
"labor is cheaper in China?
Where's the U.N. on human rights violations of this kind?

bump to the top!

48 posted on 12/11/2001 6:22:14 PM PST by goldilucky
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To: American_Patriot_For_Democracy
Just wanted to add THIS to the mix...........

China is no longer a Communist country.........China is a Fascist country.

49 posted on 12/11/2001 6:46:51 PM PST by DoctorMichael
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Comment #50 Removed by Moderator

To: Allman_Brothers_Rule
Gee thanks! : )
51 posted on 01/22/2002 7:24:57 PM PST by goldilucky
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To: American_Patriot_For_Democracy; atc; Sawdring; Pericles; Red Jones; AM2000; flamefront; Lent; ...

BUMP


52 posted on 12/30/2005 12:34:31 AM PST by SECRET ASIAN MAN (Stupidity should be made a felony.)
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To: American_Patriot_For_Democracy

That's a hell of an article, Patriot...


53 posted on 09/03/2006 11:16:18 PM PDT by BLACKSTEEL_NYC (Somewhere on a Shining Hill...)
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Comment #54 Removed by Moderator

To: illini82

Back in November 2001, when the poster of that article wrote the essay, everyone, including the CIA, was publically proclaiming that indeed, China would be the greatest economic powerhouse in the world by 2015.

Now, 5 years later, obviously this may not come true because the United States, her allies, as well as China's competitors, have all done their homework.

Times certainly have changed since 2001.


55 posted on 09/29/2006 2:59:56 AM PDT by BLACKSTEEL_NYC (Somewhere on a Shining Hill...)
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