Replies

If he doesn’t get the Repub nomination, his supporters will undoubtedly demand a 3rd party run. This will take votes away from somebody but, just who is the real question.

RP is a loon. So are his supporters. His backers are people who need to put down the bong. They are too stoned to have even the most remote clue.

If he doesn’t get the Repub nomination, his supporters will undoubtedly demand a 3rd party run. This will take votes away from somebody but, just who is the real question.

Well, he did promise his wife that he wouldn't run third-party. OTOH, I've noticed how much the Paul family and Mrs. Paul in particular is enjoying the huge outpouring of support and all the enthusiastic young people. So, in the end, she might give him permission or even urge him to run. You know, she's been in much better health since she got that pacemaker installed on the day of the Ames straw poll.

Currently, many Republicans are urging Bloomberg to run to split Hillary's vote in NY/NJ/CT. I don't think he'll fall for it.

However, if they become convinced that Bloomberg won't run (and I think he won't) and that RP could draw more antiwar types in key Dim states to a RP third-party run, they might well urge him to run third-party and pledge $20M-$50M of seed money to help him do it. Naturally, this wouldn't happen unless they actually ponied up all the cash. Ron Paul is crazy, you know. Crazy like a fox.

RP might not be so easy for the Dead Elephant Society to convince though. Playing a spoiler to help the GOP after they've treated him so shamefully and repudiated so much of the GOP platform during the Bush years won't be too appealing to Dr. Paul. And I don't think he'd do it unless he could see the possibility of grabbing the presidency for himself. He's no Pied Piper and thinks a lot of his supporters, especially those young people. He won't spoil all that he's done so far with just some split-the-vote-for-the-GOP maneuver.

I think it will be hillary.