Doesn't matter whether any of us thinks it was "likely" or not, any more than it matters if we all took a vote & collectively decided that tomorrow, the sun will be green.
The question is did Mary & Joseph consummate their marriage in history? And the bigger question that I asked earlier, the one that is still unanswered, is so what if they did?
If you get an answer it will be something along the lines of "we can't have the mother of God doing things like THAT"
BigMack