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I live in Thailand. Two points:

1) What they are talking about is doing a civil registration of marriage. Not marriage ceremonies. A Buddhist monk, a Muslim imam or a Catholic priest cannot do the civil registration, only the registration office can do it (My wife and I did that. Signed papers and went on our way — took all of about 15 minutes). I know lots of people who have had the religious ceremony but not the civil registration and many who have done the civil registration but no ceremony. It really doesn’t mean as much here from a moral perspective as in the US.

2) This has happened any number of times before but has always gotten bogged down in the paperwork and expired (the third time I’ve seen it...and I’m sure I know about it)

3) The Thailand version of the Supreme Court have utterly ruled out going through the courts on this (unlike the US SCOTUS). So if it gets held up in the parliamentary process, that’s it for the year. And over and over again.

4) Finally, Thailand has always been a very tolerant society but not a woke society. (Remember when I said that it wasn’t right for everybody?) They have an expression: “up to you.” But if you try to impose your values on them, it generally won’t end well.