“Gelernter modestly says the chances of a random mutation producing a stable protein that performs some useful function, are 1 in 10 [raised to some extremely large number]”
I suspect that is on any one trial. But when the number of trials involve billions of repetitions, chances would be dramatically greater.
But then it turns out that billions of repetitions don't add up to any kind of real-world probablility when the number of (estimated) atoms in the Universe is 1080. "Billions, or even "billions of billions," doesn't really cut it.
I think the cat was out of the bag when fair-minded people stopped calculating like a Yanomami ("a whole lot," waving fingers) and started staring at the real numbers.
I am not a math brainiac. (I am not the droid you are looking for.) But this, Gelernter's turn-around article, "Giving Up Darwin", is worth a read.
He's not saying "Evolution didn't happen." He's not saying "God did it." He's just saying it couldn't have happened the way it is always explained. The evidence is not there. THe counter-evidence is plentiful.
It's all foiled by the stubborn fact that proteins are NOT formed and have NEVER been formed in the way evolutionists say they would have HAD to be formed. The mutation/selection numbers literally do not add up.