I am a Methodist pastor and retired US Army Chaplain. Your statement is close to accurate. I think it's about 50/50, and if we add the African churches, then it goes a little bit conservative. Methodist pastors are normally considered to be the elders, but we also have local pastors and lay speakers who are pastoring small churches. These tend to be more conservative and the counter-balance to the more liberal elders.
Our first one was uber-left but personable. He went on to run a local social services agency. The second was a female who always wrangled the sermon, no matter the stated topic, into a talk on homosexuality and AIDS. The third was somewhat conservative, a troubled country pastor. I never knew an obviously leftist Lutheran (ALC, LCA and Missouri Synod) while growing up.