My state, Washington, is so blue even the dead vote. But I’ll still vote for Palin all the way.
If McCain wins the PRM, it will only be as part of a landslide.
Nevertheless, in a state (and especially in Montgomery Country) that should be true-"blue" for Obama, I see remarkably few signs and bumper stickers for him. I can count on one hand, with fingers to spare the number of cars I've seen still sporting "Kerry/Edwards" stickers (of which there are many) that also have an Obama sticker on them.
For once, I actually think the high number of "undecided" in most polls is right -- a lot of independents and democrats are incline to vote Obama, but can't bring themselves to do so, nor can they bring themselves to quite go for McCain. Neither man has "sealed the deal".
So, for whom do the undecideds break? That's the real wild card, in my opinion -- the media's trumpeting of bogus slanted polls to show an Obama landslide is intended to suppress republican voters, to be sure, but it also may be intended to either suppress "wild card" independents or get them onto an Obama bandwagon as well.
Turnout is key. Poll internals (when published) show that republicans support McCain more than democrats support Obama -- if the GOP turns out in sufficient numbers, the wild card independents probably don't matter.