I'd have to say that any direct action of God, especially the creation, would have to qualify as His active will.
Then it follows that whatever flows from the Creative act happens because God directly willed for it to happen. If He didn't then it wouldn't be part of Creation.
Jesus tells a story about a man counting the cost before he builds a tower. I think that's a good illustration of God's Creation. He didn't Create without a plan. And He didn't have only part of a plan with the blank bits to be filled in by men's choices. When God created He had a full set of blueprints to work from.
So if the above is the case, and I believe that it is, then everything that happens happens as part of God's direct planning or ordination. Of course it's easy to believe that when the good things are happening. But if we believe it then we need to be consistent and believe it about the not so good things that happen as well.
Have a blessed night Buggman.