Posted on 10/06/2003 1:34:37 PM PDT by John Jorsett
COLUMBUS, OH -- (MARKET WIRE) -- 10/06/2003 -- A new poll conducted by BIGresearch for Washington D.C.-based Renaissance Strategies shows a clear majority of California voters remain in favor of removing Gov. Gray Davis from office, with an increasing percentage of respondents saying they'd replace him with Arnold Schwarzenegger.
This latest poll, conducted from Friday, Oct. 3 to Sunday, Oct. 5, sampled 1,105 registered voters who participated in the NexGen BIGpoll™ last week via e-mail on how they intended to vote in Tuesday's Recall Election.
The poll posed the question "Do you believe Gray Davis has performed his job well enough to continue serving in office or should he be recalled?" A clear majority -- nearly 63 percent -- said Davis should be recalled with 37 percent saying he should stay in office.
"Davis has failed to convince Californians that he is able to run the state effectively," said Paul Welday, President of Renaissance Strategies. "Based on the candidates' records and careers, California voters seem to be saying they want a leader that is not a career politician."
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Davis, during a guest appearance on CNN's "Larry King Live" Sunday, said he believed voters will opt to keep him in office, deciding that a recall is "not in their best interest or in the interest of their children. ... Polls by (other) candidates show this race closing dramatically. It's almost a dead-even race right now."
Not so, according to the data, said Welday.
"That is clearly wishful thinking on the part of Gray Davis' campaign," Welday said. "Voters in California have consistently indicated their distaste for Davis and it appears they'll do something about that tomorrow."
In answer to the question "Which candidate will you be voting for in the replacement portion of the ballot?" 46 percent said Arnold Schwarzenegger -- up from nearly 40 percent a week ago. Cruz Bustamante also saw an increase of just over three percentage points, from nearly 24 percent to 27 percent today.
"Arnold Schwarzenegger will become the next Governor of California," Welday said. "His campaign has touched a chord among voters in key demographic groups and Republicans have rallied to his message."
Of Republicans who responded to the poll, 96 percent said Davis should be recalled with 77 percent saying they'd select Schwarzenegger to replace him.
To view a table of responses from today's poll compared to last week's BIGpoll™, click here: http://www.bigresearch.com/bigpoll2.htm.
About Renaissance Strategies
Renaissance Strategies is a leading political and business communications consulting firm working on behalf of private sector, trade association and Republican political clients. A leader in the field of e-communications for political and public affairs issues, it specializes in technological innovation in research, persuasion and direct contact. Renaissance Strategies has offices in Washington, DC and Novi, Michigan.
About BIGresearch
BIGresearch is a market intelligence firm providing analysis of consumer behavior. Its syndicated Consumer Intentions and Actions survey monitors the pulse of more than 8,000 consumers each month to identify opportunities in a fragmented and changing marketplace.
BIGresearch's methodology provides the most accurate consumer information in the industry with a margin of error of +/- 1 percent. Complimentary top line findings are available at www.bigresearch.com.
The great thing is that it doesn't matter. And that drives the Rats even more nuts than they already are, to realize that their iron-fisted control of the "mainstream" media no longer matters.
Contrast this with people in Arnold's hometown in Austria - Jewish people that knew him in his youth - that laugh all this poppycock off as dirty politics, particularly the Hitler crap.
Hell, the press has better documentation that Clinton once "admired" Hitler (he married her). NewsMax had something on this. Being much better organized than we once were, I predict a huge backlash against all these 11th hour charges.
Breaking all the rules the media established for itself concerning coverage of Clinton corruption, it is probably safe to say that future liberal strategies will require a new rule book. 'Cause they done stirred up a hornet's nest! and are about to be stung.
I love it! I love it! I love it!
Pay back is a ____________.
Those are indeed possibilities, but I think it's much more likely that Tom will emerge from this campaign with a big statewide (and nationwide) reputation and name recognition and tens of thousands of volunteers and contributors. That will be a huge jump over his previous influence. I expect him to get between 12% and 18% of the total vote, without the downside of electing Bustamante. That pretty much eviscerates the complaints of all those Republicans who were terrified that Tom would cost them the governorship. They will have turned out to be wrong, and there will be strong pressure from all sides for everyone to mend fences.
As far as Tom's state senate district is concerned, it is still gerrymandered to be a Republican district. I'm in his district and I am very familiar with local politics. Tom will have no significant difficulty retaining his state senate seat.
As to his new district, I've heard from several political pros that it's not a 'safe' district for Tom anymore. I'm not on the ground in Santa Barbara anymore, but it was not a place someone like Tom would be widely popular. Jury's out.
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