To: PeoplesRepublicOfWashington
You ought to take a gander at the latest SurveyUSA poll, not Iowa gambling.
In that poll, following the smear, the numbers were:
39% - never vote for Arnold
10% - were going to vote for Arnold, but won't now
12% - were not going to vote for Arnold, but now will
40% - were and still will vote for Arnold
40% + 12% = 52% voting for Arnold. Remember that is a survey of Californians, not a futures bidding market, and it has Arnold winning in a landslide.
93 posted on
10/03/2003 9:17:59 PM PDT by
fqued
(Arnold, in spite of a "vote for Tom McClintock being a vote for Pia Zadora.")
To: fqued
Go visit the Iowa Electronic Markets website and read their papers documenting that their election markets are virtually always more accurate than survey polls. In a survey poll one commits nothing. In the IEM, one votes with his pocketbook. The pocketbook trumps nothing.
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