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I did a search and surprisingly I didn't see this.

I think this story says quite a bit. 1. Arizona is still a pretty conservative state. Though, we get less so on a daily basis. And 2., I dont think we have been hit quite as hard as many states have, concerning the now supposeed ending recession and current job losses.

Only 18 percent of Republicans said they would vote for someone else. But 72 percent of Democrats and 49 percent of independents said they didn't want Bush to have a second term.

Okay. So according to this poll 82% of Pubbies, 51% of indies, and 28% of Dems can reasonably expect to vote for President Bush at this stage. The AZ SecState shows voter registration as of Jul 03 to be:

GOP - 916.2K
Dem - 782.4K
Lib - 14.9K
Oth - 499K

Based on these numbers, and assuming equal turnout among all groups, Bush could be expected to pull 82% of 916K (751K) plus 28% of 782K (219K) plus 51% of 514K (262K) for a total of 1,232K votes if all those polled actually voted.

Over 1.23 million presumed votes in a state with a total registration of 2.21 million votes. In 2000 Bush beat Gore and Nader's combined total by about 50K votes (781K to 730K). I don't really see where this poll shows trouble for President Bush.

I'm not surprised by this “poll”. George W. lost the popular vote to a moron with gender issues. The job outlook has not improved and there seems to be no evidence of WMD's in Iraq.

The only thing encouraging about this “poll” is that Forty-four percent said they would prefer someone else. That “someone else” hasn't entered the race as of yet. If things don't get better soon... she might.