There are several reasons this is all BS, first, it is still too early to make this kind of prediction. Second, people are assuming the economy trumps security. Third, we all know what we got after President Bush lost, do you think the American voters want a repeat of that?
People are also assuming this administrations has not given some thoughts about re-elections, and they are just waiting around for victory. I doubt it, I do believe it is too early to get all depressed.
If you're referring to all the bullets, I respectfully disagree. They're all factual, then and now.
If you're referring to the title, then I imagine history will prove it to be BS. :-) But we'll have to wait and see.