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Hurricane Isabel:Live Thread #2 "Force Ten Conditions In North Carolina And Further North"
NHC | 9-17-03 | My Favorite Headache

Posted on 09/17/2003 8:14:30 PM PDT by My Favorite Headache

Hurricane Isabel Advisory Number 48

Statement as of 11:00 PM EDT on September 17, 2003

...Outer bands of Hurricane Isabel moving onshore...weather should gradually worsen...

A Hurricane Warning remains in effect from Cape Fear North Carolina to Chincoteague Virginia...including Pamlico and Albemarle sounds...and the Chesapeake Bay south of Smith Point. A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected within the warning area...generally within 24 hours.

All preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to completion in the Hurricane Warning area.

A Tropical Storm Warning remains in effect south of Cape Fear to South Santee River South Carolina...and north of Chincoteague to Sandy Hook New Jersey...including Delaware Bay. A Tropical Storm Warning also remains in effect for the Chesapeake Bay from Smith Point northward...and for the tidal Potomac.

At 11 PM EDT...0300z...the center of Hurricane Isabel was located by an Air Force reconnaissance aircraft near latitude 31.9 north... longitude 73.9 west or about 250 miles south-southeast of Cape Hatteras North Carolina.

Isabel is moving toward the north-northwest near 13 mph. A turn to the northwest with an increase in forward speed is expected prior to landfall. On the forecast track...the center of Isabel is expected to make landfall in eastern North Carolina during the day Thursday. However...conditions will deteriorate over a large area well before the center reaches the coast. Tropical storm conditions are already spreading across the coastline.

Maximum sustained winds are near 105 mph...with higher gusts. A slight increase in strength is possible prior to landfall.

Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 115 miles from the center...and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 315 miles. A buoy located west of the hurricane recently reported wind gusts to 74 mph and 32 foot waves.

An Air Force hurricane hunter plane recently reported a minimum central pressure of 956 mb...28.23 inches.

Storm surge flooding of 7 to 11 feet above normal tide levels... along with extremely large and dangerous battering waves...is expected near and to the north of where the center crosses the coast. Storm surge flooding of 4 to 8 ft above normal tide levels is expected in Chesapeake Bay and the tidal portions of adjacent rivers.

Storm total rainfalls of 6 to 10 inches...with locally higher amounts...are likely in association with Isabel.

There is a threat of isolated tornadoes over eastern North Carolina and southeastern Virginia on Thursday.

Repeating the 11 PM EDT position...31.9 N... 73.9 W. Movement toward...north-northwest near 13 mph. Maximum sustained winds...105 mph. Minimum central pressure... 956 mb.

For storm information specific to your area...please monitor products issued by your local weather office.

An intermediate advisory will be issued by the National Hurricane Center at 2 am EDT followed by the next complete advisory at 5 am EDT.

Forecaster Avila


TOPICS: Breaking News; News/Current Events; US: North Carolina; US: Virginia
KEYWORDS: hurricane; hurricaneisabel; isabel; landfall
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To: Howlin
Good Lord! Please let us know your s-i-l condition when you can.
2,101 posted on 09/19/2003 5:14:01 AM PDT by NautiNurse
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To: Howlin
I am at work today so just checked in. I am sorry to hear about your son-in-law and will keep him in my prayers!
2,102 posted on 09/19/2003 5:14:37 AM PDT by NCjim
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To: Howlin
They think my son-in-law might have had a heart attack. :-(

So sorry Howlin, hope he turns out ok. One foot in front of the other, you'll get through.

2,103 posted on 09/19/2003 5:19:11 AM PDT by Dianna
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To: Howlin
Prayers sent for your son-in-law.
2,104 posted on 09/19/2003 5:30:58 AM PDT by baseballmom (Baseball is life - the rest is just details)
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To: Fawnn
"Yes, but you have that awful bubble the blacktop heat -- and, :::shudder:::, BUGS year 'round! ;):

We have heat that could kill you, but no bugs. Haven't had to use anything for fleas for the dogs nor cat since I've been here. An occasional fly or skeeter, but that's it. The heat kills them and their larvae.

2,105 posted on 09/19/2003 5:32:14 AM PDT by Slip18
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To: Howlin
Oh, my gosh, Howlin. More prayers out for you and your daughter and SIL.
2,106 posted on 09/19/2003 5:33:32 AM PDT by Slip18
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To: Howlin
Let us know how things are going. I just got out of the VA in Durham two weeks ago with heart problems.
2,107 posted on 09/19/2003 5:35:39 AM PDT by U S Army EOD (Feeling my age, but wanting to feel older)
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To: Howlin
If you're up early with the kids, let us know the latest, won't you? Prayers for your son-in-law.
2,108 posted on 09/19/2003 5:47:14 AM PDT by shezza
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To: Howlin
oh my. prayers going up.
2,109 posted on 09/19/2003 5:53:45 AM PDT by glock rocks (prayers for family and friends in Isabel's path)
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To: uglybiker
Smartass......;^) Ok, in your case, the scary thing about living in Arizona is.....McCain...... lol
2,110 posted on 09/19/2003 5:54:32 AM PDT by WhyisaTexasgirlinPA
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To: Howlin
OMG !!! add my concern, prayers & desire for update to all those already posted for your SIL, daughter/family.

2,111 posted on 09/19/2003 5:57:08 AM PDT by DollyCali (Authenticity: To have Arrived !)
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To: Howlin
Sorry to hear that - hope he gets well fully and soon.
2,112 posted on 09/19/2003 6:00:10 AM PDT by P.O.E.
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To: WhyisaTexasgirlinPA
Ok, in your case, the scary thing about living in Arizona is.....McCain...... lol

You got a point.

2,113 posted on 09/19/2003 6:00:25 AM PDT by uglybiker (Good friends bail you out of jail. True friends sit next to you and say: "That was cool!")
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To: Colorado Doug
Oh my gosh! How horrible for you....... I hope all is well now ~ it's strange how things can happen like that when you live near mountains - it can rain on the mountain but not on the ground and you don't realize it until it comes swhooshing down on you........thanks for the story...
2,114 posted on 09/19/2003 6:11:23 AM PDT by WhyisaTexasgirlinPA
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To: uglybiker
Hey, I have specter..... and the eagles..... plus hurricanes....lol
2,115 posted on 09/19/2003 6:12:39 AM PDT by WhyisaTexasgirlinPA
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To: Colorado Doug
Wow....in Salina! My goodness.
2,116 posted on 09/19/2003 6:22:49 AM PDT by rwfromkansas ("Men stumble over the truth, but most pick themselves up as if nothing had happened." Churchill)
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To: Howlin
oh my...
2,117 posted on 09/19/2003 6:24:05 AM PDT by rwfromkansas ("Men stumble over the truth, but most pick themselves up as if nothing had happened." Churchill)
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To: evets

From a friend who directed me to Urban Legend newsletter..

(and you are right.. kewl pix anyway.. and gives us the visual image of what most of them no doubt look like)

This image began circulating via email on Wednesday, Sept. 17, 2003 as Hurricane Isabel bore down on the eastern seaboard of the United States. It seems to have been intentionally mislabeled. According to a Web page of the National Weather Service, the photo, credited to Steve Todd, actually documents a tropical cyclone in the Pacific Ocean six months earlier named "Graham."

Though we have reason to suspect the information on the National Weather Service site isn't perfectly accurate either (it lists Graham as a 2002 storm, when in fact it struck in late February 2003), it puts the lie to the email's claim that the photo depicts Hurricane Isabel.

2,118 posted on 09/19/2003 6:36:29 AM PDT by DollyCali (Authenticity: To have Arrived !)
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To: WhyisaTexasgirlinPA
We have no power. But, thank God that there was little rain that came through. Most people around us have no power, including me. But the floods didn't materialize. Whew!
2,119 posted on 09/19/2003 6:40:58 AM PDT by abner (In search of a witty tag line...)
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To: abner
Glad to hear it abner........ the real tough part of the storm hit us between 3am and 4am..... I leaped out of bed when I heard this crashing sound..... I swear it sounded like a car was tumbling down the street...... I looked out and didn't see a thing! lol..........
2,120 posted on 09/19/2003 6:45:35 AM PDT by WhyisaTexasgirlinPA
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