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Hurricane Isabel:Live Thread #2 "Force Ten Conditions In North Carolina And Further North"
NHC | 9-17-03 | My Favorite Headache

Posted on 09/17/2003 8:14:30 PM PDT by My Favorite Headache

Hurricane Isabel Advisory Number 48

Statement as of 11:00 PM EDT on September 17, 2003

...Outer bands of Hurricane Isabel moving onshore...weather should gradually worsen...

A Hurricane Warning remains in effect from Cape Fear North Carolina to Chincoteague Virginia...including Pamlico and Albemarle sounds...and the Chesapeake Bay south of Smith Point. A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected within the warning area...generally within 24 hours.

All preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to completion in the Hurricane Warning area.

A Tropical Storm Warning remains in effect south of Cape Fear to South Santee River South Carolina...and north of Chincoteague to Sandy Hook New Jersey...including Delaware Bay. A Tropical Storm Warning also remains in effect for the Chesapeake Bay from Smith Point northward...and for the tidal Potomac.

At 11 PM EDT...0300z...the center of Hurricane Isabel was located by an Air Force reconnaissance aircraft near latitude 31.9 north... longitude 73.9 west or about 250 miles south-southeast of Cape Hatteras North Carolina.

Isabel is moving toward the north-northwest near 13 mph. A turn to the northwest with an increase in forward speed is expected prior to landfall. On the forecast track...the center of Isabel is expected to make landfall in eastern North Carolina during the day Thursday. However...conditions will deteriorate over a large area well before the center reaches the coast. Tropical storm conditions are already spreading across the coastline.

Maximum sustained winds are near 105 mph...with higher gusts. A slight increase in strength is possible prior to landfall.

Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 115 miles from the center...and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 315 miles. A buoy located west of the hurricane recently reported wind gusts to 74 mph and 32 foot waves.

An Air Force hurricane hunter plane recently reported a minimum central pressure of 956 mb...28.23 inches.

Storm surge flooding of 7 to 11 feet above normal tide levels... along with extremely large and dangerous battering waves...is expected near and to the north of where the center crosses the coast. Storm surge flooding of 4 to 8 ft above normal tide levels is expected in Chesapeake Bay and the tidal portions of adjacent rivers.

Storm total rainfalls of 6 to 10 inches...with locally higher amounts...are likely in association with Isabel.

There is a threat of isolated tornadoes over eastern North Carolina and southeastern Virginia on Thursday.

Repeating the 11 PM EDT position...31.9 N... 73.9 W. Movement toward...north-northwest near 13 mph. Maximum sustained winds...105 mph. Minimum central pressure... 956 mb.

For storm information specific to your area...please monitor products issued by your local weather office.

An intermediate advisory will be issued by the National Hurricane Center at 2 am EDT followed by the next complete advisory at 5 am EDT.

Forecaster Avila


TOPICS: Breaking News; News/Current Events; US: North Carolina; US: Virginia
KEYWORDS: hurricane; hurricaneisabel; isabel; landfall
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To: Mo1
Stay safe!
1,901 posted on 09/18/2003 8:09:25 PM PDT by abner (In search of a witty tag line...)
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To: Howlin
I was wondering about you...... everything ok in your area?
1,902 posted on 09/18/2003 8:09:34 PM PDT by WhyisaTexasgirlinPA
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To: Mo1
Well we know what you'll be doing tomorrow

The same thing you'll be doing. :-)

1,903 posted on 09/18/2003 8:10:21 PM PDT by Howlin
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To: WhyisaTexasgirlinPA
Just a big mess; nothing destroyed. We're not complaining. It could have been worse; it could have been another Fran.

In fact, from what I have been hearing on the local and national news, it may end up being worse than Fran.
1,904 posted on 09/18/2003 8:11:23 PM PDT by Howlin
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To: Howlin
Naaaaaaaaa ... I'm gonna make these 2 drunks clean it up for what I'm putting up with now .. LOL
1,905 posted on 09/18/2003 8:11:54 PM PDT by Mo1 (http://www.favewavs.com/wavs/cartoons/spdemocrats.wav)
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To: WhyisaTexasgirlinPA
And it's nice to know that if I had gone missing, I'd be missed.

I sure wish I had gotten Gabz's number.
1,906 posted on 09/18/2003 8:12:15 PM PDT by Howlin
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To: Mo1
Get it in writing. NOW.
1,907 posted on 09/18/2003 8:13:04 PM PDT by Howlin
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To: Mo1
I'm gonna make these 2 drunks clean it up for what I'm putting up with now ..

Brilliant, just brilliant!

1,908 posted on 09/18/2003 8:13:23 PM PDT by abner (In search of a witty tag line...)
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To: Howlin
A million people are without power in NC.
1,909 posted on 09/18/2003 8:14:06 PM PDT by Howlin
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To: Howlin
Get it in writing. NOW.

LOL!

Hey, I think I just heard some thunder, and now total quiet... Too quiet...

1,910 posted on 09/18/2003 8:14:43 PM PDT by abner (In search of a witty tag line...)
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To: Howlin
You aren't talking about a tornado that crossed Texas, slammed into Arizona, then circled around to Kansas?
1,911 posted on 09/18/2003 8:15:01 PM PDT by NautiNurse
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To: Howlin
Looks like about 150,000 in our 5-county area surrounding Philadelphia, as of the 11pm news report. Numbers are going up fast due to wind + trees combination. I see the school closings are running across the bottom of the TV screen now.

I'm grateful we're not getting the full Isabel treatment. I'm just praying no trees fall on us and the creek doesn't rise.

1,912 posted on 09/18/2003 8:18:27 PM PDT by Think free or die
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To: Howlin
We went through "Floyd" when we first moved up here...... that was some intense rain and wind...... we're just getting the bands of wind and rain here now.......
1,913 posted on 09/18/2003 8:19:15 PM PDT by WhyisaTexasgirlinPA
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To: Think free or die
How high was the wind up there?
1,914 posted on 09/18/2003 8:19:27 PM PDT by Howlin
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To: WhyisaTexasgirlinPA
Good luck; I'm not sure we put much of a dent in her.
1,915 posted on 09/18/2003 8:20:17 PM PDT by Howlin
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To: Howlin
Gabz was on the WFTD thread earlier when I had to go out...... I checked in and someone mentioned her not being back on since mid afternoon.......
1,916 posted on 09/18/2003 8:20:37 PM PDT by WhyisaTexasgirlinPA
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To: Howlin
And it's nice to know that if I had gone missing, I'd be missed.



heck, you've been missed so far :o)

I wish you had Gabz' number too. She's smart and prepared. Not to worry.

1,917 posted on 09/18/2003 8:21:24 PM PDT by glock rocks (prayers for family and friends in Isabel's path)
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To: Howlin
Thanks - she is trekking more to the West of us (I'm due north of Philadelphia, near Allentown) so we're just getting the outlying bands....... my husband works in Baltimore and drove home through it today....he said it was pretty intense......
1,918 posted on 09/18/2003 8:22:17 PM PDT by WhyisaTexasgirlinPA
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To: Howlin
I'm not sure of wind speeds. Phila had gusts up around 40mph. I suspect ours have been similar, and we're not done yet. I'll breathe a sigh of relief tomorrow morning if nothing ugly happens overnight.
1,919 posted on 09/18/2003 8:22:54 PM PDT by Think free or die
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To: NautiNurse
I counted 20 states and the District of Columbia. Am I wrong?
1,920 posted on 09/18/2003 8:23:09 PM PDT by Howlin
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