Hurricane Isabel:Live Thread #2 "Force Ten Conditions In North Carolina And Further North"

NHC | 9-17-03 | My Favorite Headache

[My Favorite Headache]

Hurricane Isabel Advisory Number 48

Statement as of 11:00 PM EDT on September 17, 2003

...Outer bands of Hurricane Isabel moving onshore...weather should gradually worsen...

A Hurricane Warning remains in effect from Cape Fear North Carolina to Chincoteague Virginia...including Pamlico and Albemarle sounds...and the Chesapeake Bay south of Smith Point. A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected within the warning area...generally within 24 hours.

All preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to completion in the Hurricane Warning area.

A Tropical Storm Warning remains in effect south of Cape Fear to South Santee River South Carolina...and north of Chincoteague to Sandy Hook New Jersey...including Delaware Bay. A Tropical Storm Warning also remains in effect for the Chesapeake Bay from Smith Point northward...and for the tidal Potomac.

At 11 PM EDT...0300z...the center of Hurricane Isabel was located by an Air Force reconnaissance aircraft near latitude 31.9 north... longitude 73.9 west or about 250 miles south-southeast of Cape Hatteras North Carolina.

Isabel is moving toward the north-northwest near 13 mph. A turn to the northwest with an increase in forward speed is expected prior to landfall. On the forecast track...the center of Isabel is expected to make landfall in eastern North Carolina during the day Thursday. However...conditions will deteriorate over a large area well before the center reaches the coast. Tropical storm conditions are already spreading across the coastline.

Maximum sustained winds are near 105 mph...with higher gusts. A slight increase in strength is possible prior to landfall.

Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 115 miles from the center...and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 315 miles. A buoy located west of the hurricane recently reported wind gusts to 74 mph and 32 foot waves.

An Air Force hurricane hunter plane recently reported a minimum central pressure of 956 mb...28.23 inches.

Storm surge flooding of 7 to 11 feet above normal tide levels... along with extremely large and dangerous battering waves...is expected near and to the north of where the center crosses the coast. Storm surge flooding of 4 to 8 ft above normal tide levels is expected in Chesapeake Bay and the tidal portions of adjacent rivers.

Storm total rainfalls of 6 to 10 inches...with locally higher amounts...are likely in association with Isabel.

There is a threat of isolated tornadoes over eastern North Carolina and southeastern Virginia on Thursday.

Repeating the 11 PM EDT position...31.9 N... 73.9 W. Movement toward...north-northwest near 13 mph. Maximum sustained winds...105 mph. Minimum central pressure... 956 mb.

For storm information specific to your area...please monitor products issued by your local weather office.

An intermediate advisory will be issued by the National Hurricane Center at 2 am EDT followed by the next complete advisory at 5 am EDT.

Forecaster Avila

[glock rocks]

yah, but they have cat 5's in AZ

(glock ducks for cover)

[Howlin]

Bump to 1239.

[Lazamataz]

I knew I'd get y'all thinking about something other than the impending doom by making that statement. :o)

[Slip18]

What a funny thought. Your Mr. has a great sense of humor!

[Howlin]

Where could they have gotten such a dumb notion?

[Howlin]

You're quite the guy. :-)

[Lazamataz]

Shep is on now *drool*

Bad news. Shep is gay.

[Chemist_Geek]

Well, you can have Shep. Xs can have Sean. I do so like Tony Snow. Can't help it.

Where's that jpeg of Laurie Dhue when I need it..?

;-)

[Mo1]

As they should get a lot of emails about Jeff's pants. That was hysterical

I'm predicting an SNL skit *L*

Did ya hear Shep rip into congress and DC for taking the day off

[Howlin]

For sure. That would have been a real disaster considering the path she is taking.

[Slip18]

NC has an impressive list there! You have way outmatched Laz's GA.

[Rebelbase]

Just pulled this update from the Drum Wagon message board. These guys are in Davis, NC, right across sound from where the eye crossed the South Core Banks.

From: Tom@DW
Category: WebSite Comment
Date: 9/18/2003
Time: 3:10:53 PM


Comments
NOT GOOD.....

He called me from cell, couldnt hear him, so he called back from Deputy Phil"s (across the street) and told me....

Hes got 4" of water in the house, 6" in the Shop (they were jacking up the welders to keep em dry), 3" in my house, water up to the door handles on the cars, RVs in the yard flooded, Floated a four-wheeler off the cement pad over the septic tank, floating coolers, gas bottles, everything floating in the yard.....

Doesnt sound pretty..... dont know about AWFC, but were higher than they are, so......

Water is starting to go down now....

When I get more, Ill share it!

[Joe Hadenuf]

Hehehe.....

[honeygrl]

Don't take Laz too seriously. ;) He likely just meant where he is in GA and it came out wrong. Plus, he's very rarely ever serious about what he says.

[Not A Snowbird]

Nice graphic! I've sent my renters to the basement, just in case the neighbor is wrong about the stability of the five-story high birch tree next to the house.

[Howlin]

PROVOCATEUR

[MoJo2001]

I have 3 neighbors that are policemen and they are just shaking their heads. One just came home and told The Sailor (My hubby) that he's already arrested 10 people because they were trying to walk or swim at Buckroe!

[Lazamataz]

You have way outmatched Laz's GA.

And you've WAYYYY outmatched Shep's GAy.

[Howlin]

And that list is only DIRECT hits, not counting ones that may have passed THROUGH here.

[MEG33]

Kill Devil Hills ,NC is looking bad on TV.