One who makes a living predicting outcomes gives Gray Davis better odds of beating the recall than Tom McClintock does of winning it (8 to 1 for Gray and 12 to 1 for Tom). He also says that Ariana Huffington (10 to 1) and Peter Ueberroth (6 to 1) have better odds than Tom.
The front-runners?
Arnold (1 to 10) and Cruz (3 to 2).
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/971096/posts
A few things have happened since Aug. 11 (the date of the press release).