Posted on 08/25/2003 9:19:15 AM PDT by Brian_Baldwin
The Los Angeles Times poll, with Bustamante on top in double digits, does not reflect the likely outcome of the recall. And the reason is simple accounting for the demographics, sense of obligation to community, and political participation of those who participated in this Los Angeles Times poll, a goodly portion of them will not even bother to get out and vote the day of the recall election. The poll is a contrived suggestion of likely outcome, and serves as nothing more than a tool of the liberal politics of the Los Angeles Times.
Simon has dropped out of the race. We should remember the leadership he has shown in this regard, and he deserves continued support for political and governmental involvement in the future because of this.
McClintock, Schwarzenegger. The odds on favorite is Schwarzenegger, but politics, especially recall politics, and especially recall politics in California, can shift like a Los Angeles earthquake, and go in any direction.
The fact is, Schwarzenegger has dropped a few points. Everyone know why. The recall wasnt scurried by the National Republican Party, nor the State Republican Party. In fact, at the national level, and with elements of the Bush Administration, the recall was opposed. The recall was a grass roots effort of citizens, initiated by conservative talk radio, and coalesced around many other citizen and grass roots organizations not only Republican but also Democratic and others. It was a peoples recall, initiated by conservatives, and also others who became INVOLVED. And, it will be these same people, those who were INVOLVED, that will make the difference for Arnold. And, it shows the power of the people, and the power of conservatives in California. We are told, conservatives have no power in California. Nothing could be further from the truth.
I am not taking sides, McClintock or Schwarzenegger. But here is a fact. Arnold has dropped a few points, because he didnt win over enough of those who were INVOLVED in the recall. If Schwarzenegger is going to win, he has to win more of them over or he is not going to win. Period.
Here is what Schwarzenegger needs to do, to win the election.
Schwarzenegger needs to come on as a guest to the same conservative talk radio shows that, in large part, were the voices of this recall.
He needs to come on, and he will be treated with respect, and welcomed. He does not need to worry about that, because the fact is, if he wants to come on the radio, these same talk shows will welcome him enthusiastically.
All he need to do, is come on the radio. And then, once on the radio, he only needs to say the following. And, it doesnt matter is stance on abortion or legal immigration. All he needs to do is come on the radio. And then say this:
He needs to say he supports Proposition 13, has always supported this will of the people, and that he supports the principle of Proposition 187. And then, he needs to follow these brief statements by stating, five times (yes, five times), that he does NOT support burdening the citizens of California with the abusive taxation that Davis and the Democrats have put upon this State. He can go into his spew about attracting business back to California, that would be fine, that would be great. But he needs to say these two things about Prop 13 and taxation. He needs to come on the radio.
If Arnold Schwarzenegger comes on the radio, and says this,
- then hes won the election.
Its really very simple for him.
Will he do it?
This is absolutely true, especially because the LA Times added 125 "latino" respondents on top of the overall polling sample. Damn dirty liberal tricks if you ask me. Of course, the average "latino" respondent would choose the "latino" name from the list of choices. Clearly a biased poll.
Liberal views like:
"I'm for gun control. I'm a peace-loving guy." - Time magazine cover story Aug 18, 2003
Schwarzenegger appeared on FoxNews' "Bill O'Reilly" program in May 2001 and said he disagreed with President Bush's pro-life position. "I'm for choice," Schwarzenegger said on the program. "The women should have the choice. The women should decide what they want to do with their bodies. I'm all for that."
From Cosmopolitan magazine, "I have no sexual standards in my head that say this is good or this is bad. Homosexual-that only means to me that he enjoys sex with a man and I enjoy sex with a woman. It's all legitimate to me." He also supports gay adoption, despite the fact that both conservative Republicans and moderate Democrats voted by a 61 percent margin for Proposition 22, the Defense of Marriage Initiative, which defined marriage as that between a man and a woman. Newsmax, 28 July 2003
Regarding the passage of Proposition 49: "Every California child deserves access to a proven, quality, life-changing afterschool program, and now they will have it. My hope is that, as goes California, so goes the rest of our nation."
In 1999 Schwarzenegger told George magazine of his bitterness about the frenzy over Monica Lewinsky and Bill Clinton and the waste of time and energy it represented. "That was another thing I will never forgive the Republican party for," he said. "I was ashamed to call myself a Republican during that period."
Last year, while campaigning for his Prop. 49 after-school programs initiative, Schwarzenegger...declared in answer to a question from the audience: "I would never stand in the way of any child going to school, whether he or she is here legally or illegally, it does not matter." - Sacramento Bee, 24 August
Arnold would love to do it, I'm sure. But any radio host who invites Arnold must also give equal time to the other 150 candidates. That is why one radio show cancelled Swartzenegger last week.
It is not impossible to make such an offer in a normal election. Some left wingers will avoid confronting a phone bank of conservative callers or a well respected conservative host. Remember they are going on the air to get supporters, some don't want voters to know what they stand for. The softballs that come from some in the media may be much harder when they come from callers (who must get through a call screener). "Equal time" doesn't mean that the show's producer must relinquish the call screener's job to someone friendly to the candidate. There is no requirement to air every caller, etc.
Would Gary Coleman go on such a show just to get publicity (not with the hopes of becoming governor)? Would his audience still find him to be an interesting guest? Would La-hrry Flynnt consent to be hassled by conservatives for an hour?
I know that here in Houston, Dan Patrick was willing to give all 7 candidates in the "non-partisan" mayoral race a chance to be interviewed (same airtime available to all). I don't think that they all took him up on the offer. The incumbant had nothing to gain from going on the show and he could be held accountable for the problems in his administration.
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