Replies

1 million more registered Democrats in California means that Ralph McClintock / Tom Simon has a chance. . .

You keep repeating that many times on these kind of threads.

While that is probably a fact, it does not to the conclusion that you think it does.

Case in point:

Here in Florida, Gov. Jeb Bush has been elected twice.

The latest official figures show that there are 372,000 more Democrats than Republicans and that this number was even larger the first time Jeb was elected.

Also, the three largest counties have decidedly larger Democrat pluralities (think Election 2000 here) and in fact, Democrats have the registration lead in 47 of the 67 counties in Florida.

How does Jeb Bush win here in Florida - rather handily, I might add too - faced with such a disparity in registered voters.

BTW, Florida has about 16,000,000 people v. California's 36,000,000. Do the math and the registered voter situation is almost identical.

Why does Jeb win?

Could it be that Jeb runs as a conservative? No, of course not, that cannot not happen in your paradigm....right?

Another example:

Prop. 187 passed with 60% of the vote - same demographics.

Also, recent poll shows that Hispanics have core values that correlate with Republican party - tend to be pro-life, anti-gay marriage, strong work ethic, etc. And they are starting to wake up to that fact.

When I worked the Voter Registration booth a couple of weeks ago we had alot of people switching parties (over to Republican).

Your Jeb Bush arguement doesn't apply simply because at the time he ran for election his brother GWB was flying high in the polls and could help offset the gap that is present amongst registered voter in Florida.

Currently GWB is not anywhere near the popularity in which he was back then. Plus add to the fact that the state of Florida was barely won Republicans in 2000 where as GWB lost in California by over 1 million votes as well in 2000.

So to go over it again California is facing 3X the odds that Florida has. Does not have a similar track record as Florida, Has a Democrat dominated legislator unlike Florida. GWB's popularity is sinking. And GWB has not expressed any interest in endorsing any candidate as off yet.