I guess you are a big expert on California politics then...
Yep
Simon lost
People want to punish Davis, but not reward Simon. He will remind them of Davis. Arnold is new and exciting. If he is not toppled by the Democrat friendly media, he should win as ordinary people would give the actor a chance. The Democrats know the endgame and will rally around someone to keep California in the D column for 2004. There best chance is a split Republican ticket with Simon attacking Schwarznegger and reminding everyone why the Democrats are in control (and should remain in control). That should not happen. Simon should only remain in the race as insurance. He should absolutely not run any ads against any other Republican. No Republican should run negative ads. They should stay on message, positive, "feel the love."