[Torie]

OK, thanks. Kerry won't pick up NH however. And Graham and Edwards are going to lose Minnesota (in fact all the Dems will lose Minnesota in a tight race), as well as Wisconsin, Iowa, and Oregon, and maybe Washington.

[AntiGuv]

Yes. All that is correct, in my view - except for Washington. In my estimation, Washington will be razor-close even if Bush wins by a 54%-45% margin, in which case he should just eke out the win there.

[Dan from Michigan]

Wisconsin

You think Wisconsin too? I don't know. Reason being the 1-2-3 punch of Dane, Milwaukee, and The whole Iron Range area on Lake Superior(From Ironwood MI to Duluth MN).

Oregon I think depends on a strong Green. I think Washington is almost out of reach with the tech job losses.

Iowa, New Hampshire, and Minnesota are three of the toughest for me to predict. Anything can happen there.