[AntiGuv]

Yes. All that is correct, in my view - except for Washington. In my estimation, Washington will be razor-close even if Bush wins by a 54%-45% margin, in which case he should just eke out the win there.

[Torie]

No, Washington doesn't like mush-mouths, particularly if they are airbrains like Edwards. or weirdo idiosyncratic sui generis hawks like Graham.