[Dan from Michigan]

I disagree with him on that one too. Only thing I almost agree with him on is Kerry.

[deport]

Some of the repeat winners going backwards a few cycles...

• 1992 - Clinton .. 49.2% pop.... 379 EC

• 1984 - Reagan .. 58.8% pop.... 525 EC

• 1972 - Nixon .. 60.3% pop.... 520 EC

• 1956 - Eishenhower .. 57.6% pop.... 457 EC

• 1944 - Roosevelt .. 53.3% pop..... 432 EC

So history tells us that if the President is reelected it's done with a fairly large margin.... So if Sabato is correct in his analysis then I'd say President Bush will lose.... But I don't think Sabato is correct...