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US Wages War From Within Iran
Asia Times and AFI Specialist Intelligence ^ | June 20, 2003 | Richard M. Bennett

Posted on 06/19/2003 7:53:00 AM PDT by ewing

The Central Intelligence Agency has been in contact with Senior Iranian Military personnel for several years and are to have believed to have developed a number of highly valuable operations to undermine Iran's defenses.

Aware of the United States Intelligence agency's success in 'turning' large numbers of key Iraqi commanders, [in the Second Gulf War] the Iranian Government has quietly contemplated a mass purge of the possibly 'infected' Army High Command and Senior Field Officers.

This would of course still suit the Pentagon as it would severly disrupt Iran's war planning, the command structure and the likely performance of its units in battle.

CIA officers and dissident Iranian agents have expended millions of dollars in recent weeks to foment trouble through Iran, and indeed have had some success in Tehran and a number of other cities.

In a re-run of the classic campaign that sucessfully overthrew the regieme of Prime Minister Mohammed Musadeqq in 1953, American Intelligence Operations have been mainly focused on the protesting students, the police and those troops used for internal security.

While not expecting the Tehran regieme to be toppled easily or quickly, the CIA operations are the beginning of a determined effort to subvert the Armed Forces of Iran and significantly undermine the ability of the Government in Terhan to resist increasing diplomatic pressure to disarm or to organize successfully to resist a United States Military Invasion, perhaps as early as 2004.

(Excerpt) Read more at atimes.com ...


TOPICS: Constitution/Conservatism; Extended News; Foreign Affairs; Government; Israel; News/Current Events; Philosophy; US: District of Columbia; United Kingdom
KEYWORDS: bushdoctrineunfold; cia; davissimontv; iran; southasia; southasialist; war
Looking like late 2003, early 2004..
1 posted on 06/19/2003 7:53:01 AM PDT by ewing
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To: DoctorZIn
help is on the way!
2 posted on 06/19/2003 7:57:43 AM PDT by ewing
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To: ewing

Here is the whole article

US wages war from within Iran ...By Richard M Bennett

With commendable stupidity usually only reserved for the most powerful and isolated from reality, President George W Bush has managed to go some way towards repeating the catastrophic mistakes of Lyndon Johnson and ensnare the United States in an increasingly unpopular and probably unwinnable foreign military involvement. Just two months after the sudden collapse of organized Iraqi resistance to the US-led invasion, US troops are back in a Vietnam-scenario with the ambushing of military convoys, the regular use of grenades and rocket launchers against isolated American targets and indeed suicide bombers.

It has always been a truism that if you cannot avoid wars, then at least learn the lessons of previous conflicts. This, however, the US has signally failed to do. Not content with the ultimate failures of the campaigns in Vietnam, Laos and Cambodia, of Somalia, and indeed even Afghanistan, to achieve the stated aims and the supposed improvement in the state of the inhabitants of those nations, the US has blindly embarked on a dangerous and unsound course of action. US forces are already launching operations suspiciously similar to the "search-and-destroy" tactics of 40 years ago and with a similar response from an increasingly hostile civilian population.

Using a marked degree of devious propaganda about the imminent threat of weapons of mass destruction and largely in the dark about the true allegiance and likely response of the majority of Iraqis, the US has now succeeded in alienating much of both the developed and Third World, and indeed signaled to both Russia and China that Washington's new-found military belligerence and diplomatic toughness are a profound threat to their influence and future powerbase. Not content with expending much of America's wealth and the lives of its young service personnel in largely fruitless campaigns in Afghanistan and Iraq, Washington is now clearly preparing the ground for an attack on Iran.

The Central Intelligence Agency (CIA) has been in contact with senior Iranian military personnel for several years and are believed to have developed a number of highly valuable operations to undermine Iran's defenses. However, and crucially, they have so far failed in similar attempts with the Islamic Republican Guards or Pasdaran. Aware of the US intelligence agency's success in "turning" large numbers of key Iraqi commanders, the Iranian government has quietly contemplated a mass purge of the possibly "infected" army high command and senior field commanders. This would of course still suit the Pentagon as it would severely disrupt Iranian war planning, the command structure and the likely performance of its combat units in battle.

The course that the mullahs have apparently decided on is to ensure a higher degree of integration between Pasdaran and regular army formations in conflict situations and to increase both the penetration of the army by the internal security branch of the intelligence service, SAVAMA, and vastly increase the numbers of trusted Pasdaran officers positioned at brigade and divisional-level headquarters to watch for any signs of treachery by regular officers, much in the manner of commissars or political officers that the Soviets used to deploy.

The Iranian government has moved hundreds, if not thousands, of trusted Islamic officers and Pasdaran fighters into the Shi'ite areas of Iraq in order to create a massive subversive campaign in the event of a US attack on their country. However, Washington has more than paid back this action in kind. CIA officers and dissident Iranian agents have expended millions of dollars in recent weeks to foment trouble throughout Iran, and indeed have had some success in Tehran and a number of other cities. In a re-run of the classic campaign that successfully overthrew the regime of prime minister Mohammed Musadeqq in 1953 and which resulted in the return of the Shah, American intelligence operations have been focused mainly on the protesting students, the police and those troops used for internal security.

While not expecting the Tehran regime to be toppled easily or quickly, the CIA operations are the beginning of a determined effort to subvert the armed forces of Iran and significantly undermine the ability of the government in Tehran to resist increasing diplomatic pressure to disarm or to organize successfully to resist a US military invasion, perhaps as early as 2004.

However, judging by the failure to complete the victories won on the battlefield in both Afghanistan and Iraq, the portents for the coming war with Iran are ominous. Both Afghanistan and Iraq now have developing major insurgencies with which US forces are showing few signs of coming to terms, and without doubt Iran will be a much harder nut to crack. The drain on US resources and lives will almost certainly be that much greater. Any one of these campaigns may indeed be winnable, two are a serious problem, however three may well prove to be just one war too far, even for the world's only superpower.

(AFI Research, a leading source of specialist intelligence, defense, terrorism, conflict and political analysis. (C) Richard Bennett Media 2003, rbmedia@supanet.com )

3 posted on 06/19/2003 8:05:17 AM PDT by DannyTN (Note left on my door by a pack of neighborhood dogs.)
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To: DannyTN
His editorial comments werent really to the point of the news article..
4 posted on 06/19/2003 8:18:23 AM PDT by ewing
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To: DannyTN
I'm glad you posted the whole thing, so people could see what it's main purpose was - a hit piece on the Administration.
5 posted on 06/19/2003 8:18:36 AM PDT by Coop (God bless our troops!)
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To: DannyTN
"With commendable stupidity "

Translated as "I hate George Bush"

then at least learn the lessons of previous conflicts. This, however, the US has signally failed to do

"The US is stupid and will fail"

...the US has now succeeded in alienating much of both the developed and Third World, and ...signaled to both Russia and China that Washington's new-found military belligerence and diplomatic toughness are a ...threat to their influence and future powerbase.

"The US has no friends"

Not content with expending much of America's wealth and the lives of its young service personnel in largely fruitless campaigns in Afghanistan and Iraq

"The US is broke, dead and unsuccessful"

The CIA ...have developed a number of highly valuable operations to undermine Iran's defenses. ... This would of course still suit the Pentagon as it would severely disrupt Iranian war planning, the command structure and the likely performance of its combat units in battle.

"The US has infiltrated Iraq in large numbers. Iraq knows, but it's a win win for the US no matter what Iraq does.

...the mullahs ...decided ...to ensure a higher degree of integration ...

"Iraq is using the same terror techniques to control their army that Iraq and the Soviets did"

"has moved hundreds, if not thousands, of trusted Islamic officers and Pasdaran fighters into the Shi'ite areas of Iraq"

"Iran tried to cause internal trouble in Iraq, but Washington is showing Iran how it's done, beating them at their own game"

judging by the failure to complete the victories won on the battlefield in both Afghanistan and Iraq...

"The US has failed before and this war will be different and much harder. However, the US might just kick our butts."

6 posted on 06/19/2003 8:27:10 AM PDT by DannyTN (Note left on my door by a pack of neighborhood dogs.)
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To: DannyTN
Its a quagmire, I tell ya!
7 posted on 06/19/2003 8:28:59 AM PDT by ewing
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To: ewing
Let's put this in perspective.

Q: What's the key to cutting the drain on our resources?
A:Iran.

Q: Why?
A: Because the Iranian people are pro-American, want to be secularized, and want to throw off the Arab yoke (in the form of theocracy). Once Iran has fallen and a pro-American government is installed -- whether it is the Pahlavi dynasty or not -- Iran can function as a "regional superpower" (to use Henry Kissinger's phrase) to help us police the area.

What can a pro-American Iran do?

Iran is the key to the whole enterprise.

8 posted on 06/19/2003 8:44:45 AM PDT by Publius
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To: *southasia_list
http://www.freerepublic.com/perl/bump-list
9 posted on 06/19/2003 8:45:55 AM PDT by Free the USA
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To: Publius; *Bush Doctrine Unfold
Unless Syria does something that draws our attention first..
10 posted on 06/19/2003 8:49:42 AM PDT by ewing
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To: DannyTN
Real interesting. I wonder how factual it is. Especially considering Student protests have been ongoing since 1999. How come they aren't larger now with CIA there?

Doesn't make sense.

Would like others input.
11 posted on 06/19/2003 9:51:27 AM PDT by Persia
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To: ewing
Hey....this from the CIA? And we are supposed to believe this? Based on what Democrat's advice?
12 posted on 06/19/2003 9:52:40 AM PDT by grumple
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To: ewing
This guy dosn't know what he is talking about, It isn't the CIA, It is a home-grown Pro-democracy movement that has been around since the 1990's. They have elected reformist politicians, but now are setting their sights a little higher.

That being said, it works to the United States's advantage, Islamic Theocracy loses a country (benefit enough in itself), and we might pickup another ally.

13 posted on 06/19/2003 10:17:07 AM PDT by theKing
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To: Persia
"Doesn't make sense. "

I agree it doesn't make sense. I think they have been larger recently, but that is not necessarily indicative of a CIA presence. But given the author's bent against the US, he is probably looking for a scapegoat to blame the protests on.

14 posted on 06/19/2003 10:42:57 AM PDT by DannyTN (Note left on my door by a pack of neighborhood dogs.)
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To: ewing
I see that the Asia Times Online has gone the way of Debka -though with better graphics. The last article of theirs I remember reading talked about Saddam's crack Republican guards and how they were better troops than U.S. Army and the equal of U.S. Marines.

This is just another example of capitalism in process. Someone is trying to deliver a message someone somewhere will buy - under the rubrick of "journalism" or "news."

15 posted on 06/19/2003 12:03:20 PM PDT by hoyaloya
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To: ewing

16 posted on 06/19/2003 12:09:06 PM PDT by ASA Vet ("Those who know, don't talk. Those who talk, don't know." (I'm in the 2nd group.))
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To: ewing
BTTT for later read!! Woohoo!!
17 posted on 06/19/2003 12:10:01 PM PDT by MoJo2001
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To: ASA Vet
Its a Vietman replay I tell ya, just like Afghanistan and Iraq!
18 posted on 06/19/2003 4:20:34 PM PDT by ewing
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To: hoyaloya
Those paragraphs are in interesting message though..
19 posted on 06/19/2003 4:22:08 PM PDT by ewing
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To: Publius
Good job. Very interesting.
20 posted on 06/19/2003 8:38:17 PM PDT by servantoftheservant
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