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Bay Area likely to suffer major quake by 2032
Mercury News ^ | 4/21/03

Posted on 04/21/2003 9:49:40 PM PDT by NormsRevenge

Edited on 04/13/2004 3:30:58 AM PDT by Jim Robinson. [history]

SAN JOSE, Calif. -A catastrophic earthquake as powerful as the $20 billion Northridge quake of 1994 has a 62 percent chance of striking the Bay Area in the next 30 years, a panel of scientists will announce Tuesday.

And of the seven major faults in the region, the Hayward-Rodgers Creek and San Andreas fault systems, which pose direct threats to San Jose, San Francisco and Oakland, are the most likely to generate a 6.7 magnitude or greater quake before 2032.


(Excerpt) Read more at bayarea.com ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events; US: California
KEYWORDS: 2032; bayarea; likely; major; quake; suffer
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To: capitan_refugio
Not at all.... I'd like someone to format a table of personalities, their weights and yield figures, Tom Dascle could fuel a from New York to Pittsberg. Jane Fonda could make 6 bags of fertilizer and so on.
21 posted on 04/21/2003 10:33:38 PM PDT by ffusco ("Essiri sempri la santu fora la chiesa.")
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To: NormsRevenge
Interesting, exactly the same thing was announced about 3 to 4 years ago. I predict there is 100% probability that the sun will rise sometime tomorrow morning. Do I qualify for a government grant now?
22 posted on 04/21/2003 11:09:31 PM PDT by droberts
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To: NormsRevenge
Run for the hills!! We're all gonna die!!

*Stops mountain-biking near Loma Prieta epicenter*


23 posted on 04/22/2003 12:56:02 AM PDT by Jonez712 (I <3 America)
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To: NormsRevenge
Down Side?????
24 posted on 04/22/2003 1:10:59 AM PDT by gilor (Buy parkas! We're headed for another Ice AGE!!!)
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To: gilor
Quite frankly, I'm hard pressed to provide a refutal to your question when I see the following going on. :-)

CA: Legislature's Extravagance (MegaBillion Dollar DeficitBARF Alert)

Poll: Public thinks state will need to raise taxes

25 posted on 04/22/2003 9:31:18 AM PDT by NormsRevenge (Semper Fi .. Support FRee Republic)
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To: Kuksool
I don't like the news at all. The Marxists of the Bay Area will be moving into the Red Zone. I just want the Bay Area to become its own nation.

Like Atlantis preferably.

26 posted on 04/22/2003 9:37:29 AM PDT by ScottinSacto
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To: ScottinSacto
Did Atlanteans have quake insurance 8-?

http://www.recallgraydavis.com

But Don't Stop There!

Let's Get Ready to Send the Rest of Da Bums packin' in 2004 and Beyond!!!

27 posted on 04/22/2003 10:36:05 AM PDT by NormsRevenge (Semper Fi .. Support FRee Republic)
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To: NormsRevenge
The California Earthquake Authority was not yet implemented, however, the policies available now offer approximately the same amount of coverage.
28 posted on 04/22/2003 10:41:23 AM PDT by ScottinSacto
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To: Carry_Okie
Sounds a little flaky.

They are using better models in their computers. Diffraction theory, Fresnel math. More data, bigger models, bigger, faster computers. But they still can't say when. They still equate tidal phenomena with ouija magic.

29 posted on 04/22/2003 10:46:17 AM PDT by RightWhale (Theorems link concepts; proofs establish links)
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From the Mercury News

California unveils new seismic shaking map

If you live in the ``pink'' or ``red'' zones, you could be in trouble, scientists and government officials warned in San Jose today as they unveiled a new earthquake shaking map for the state of California.

For the Bay Area as well as most of Southern California, the map colors are very, very warm. In fact, nearly all of coastal California from north of Eureka to the Mexican border, where more than 70 percent of the state's population lives, is red. So are the southern inland deserts.

The new seismic shaking map shows the potential danger of the strongest earthquakes over the next half century based on fault lines, shaking intensity, earthquake intervals and soil conditions.

Using different colors to show intensity, the map indicates the maximum shaking that could occur from likely sources of future temblors throughout the state.

Areas in pink and red are at the greatest risk of a damage by earthquakes; at the other end of the map's spectrum, those in dark green have the lowest risk.

But the entire state is ``at risk for earthquake damage,'' said Dallas Jones, director of the state Office of Emergency Services. The map, he said, ``serves as a reminder for California residents to practice earthquake preparedness.''

The map was unveiled during the Disaster Resistant California Conference at the downtown Fairmont Hotel, attended by several hundred scientists, emergency, city and school officials and private and nonprofit organizations from throughout the state.

It is different than the ``ShakeMaps'' created online with data from sensors all over the state that show shaking from a single earthquake minutes after it occurs. This map shows the potential damage to help emergency managers focus limited resources on areas that computer models indicate are at greatest risk, Jones said.

The map is a joint product of the Governor's Office of Emergency Services, the California Seismic Safety Commission, the California Department of Conservation's Geological Survey and the U.S. Geological Survey. It is available online at www.seismic.ca.gov/sscpub.htm

State OES director Darrell Young said this map is purposely broad. But specific maps showing the risk for individual blocks can also be downloaded from the same site.

30 posted on 04/22/2003 6:24:47 PM PDT by NormsRevenge (Semper Fi .. Support FRee Republic)
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The link referenced at the bottom of the above article is 950 K and is available in both pdf and jpeg format.
31 posted on 04/22/2003 6:27:01 PM PDT by NormsRevenge (Semper Fi .. Support FRee Republic)
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To: Carry_Okie; Ernest_at_the_Beach; Grampa Dave
Ping - new Merc article and link for seismic intensity map just released. See Post 30/31.
32 posted on 04/22/2003 6:32:02 PM PDT by NormsRevenge (Semper Fi .. Support FRee Republic)
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To: NormsRevenge
Yup, and it lists the Hayward fault system at the top of the list. If that sucker hits in winter with all saturarted those clay hills they'll give liquifaction a whole new meaning.
33 posted on 04/22/2003 9:10:01 PM PDT by Carry_Okie (There are people in power who are truly evil.)
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