Posted on 04/15/2003 6:55:12 AM PDT by per loin
Time | Cases | Increase | Disposition | Dead as % of prior time | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Day | Date | New | Week | Total | One Day | Week | Got well | Dead | Total Gone | Now In Hospitals | Total Hosp Days | Week | 2 Week | 3 Week | ||||||||||||
Day | Total | % | Day | Total | % | Day | Total | % | Day | Total | % | |||||||||||||||
Wed | 03/12 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 100.0% | 10 | |||||||||||||||||||
Thu | 03/13 | 14 | 24 | 140.0% | 14 | 24 | 100.0% | 34 | ||||||||||||||||||
Fri | 03/14 | 5 | 29 | 20.8% | 5 | 29 | 100.0% | 63 | ||||||||||||||||||
Sat | 03/15 | 8 | 37 | 27.6% | 8 | 37 | 100.0% | 100 | ||||||||||||||||||
Sun | 03/16 | 5 | 42 | 13.5% | 5 | 42 | 100.0% | 142 | ||||||||||||||||||
Mon | 03/17 | 53 | 95 | 126.2% | 53 | 95 | 100.0% | 237 | ||||||||||||||||||
Tue | 03/18 | 28 | 123 | 123 | 29.5% | 28 | 123 | 100.0% | 360 | |||||||||||||||||
Wed | 03/19 | 27 | 140 | 150 | 22.0% | 1400.0% | 5 | 5 | 3.3% | 5 | 5 | 3.3% | 10 | 10 | 6.7% | 17 | 140 | 93.3% | 500 | 50.0% | ||||||
Thu | 03/20 | 23 | 149 | 173 | 15.3% | 620.8% | 0 | 5 | 2.9% | 1 | 6 | 3.5% | 1 | 11 | 6.4% | 22 | 162 | 93.6% | 662 | 25.0% | ||||||
Fri | 03/21 | 30 | 174 | 203 | 17.3% | 600.0% | 2 | 7 | 3.4% | 0 | 6 | 3.0% | 2 | 13 | 6.4% | 28 | 190 | 93.6% | 852 | 20.7% | ||||||
Sat | 03/22 | 19 | 185 | 222 | 9.4% | 500.0% | 0 | 7 | 3.2% | 2 | 8 | 3.6% | 2 | 15 | 6.8% | 17 | 207 | 93.2% | 1,059 | 21.6% | ||||||
Sun | 03/23 | 25 | 205 | 247 | 11.3% | 488.1% | 0 | 7 | 2.8% | 2 | 10 | 4.0% | 2 | 17 | 6.9% | 23 | 230 | 93.1% | 1,289 | 23.8% | ||||||
Mon | 03/24 | 13 | 165 | 260 | 5.3% | 173.7% | 5 | 12 | 4.6% | 0 | 10 | 3.8% | 5 | 22 | 8.5% | 8 | 238 | 91.5% | 1,527 | 10.5% | ||||||
Tue | 03/25 | 26 | 163 | 286 | 10.0% | 132.5% | 2 | 14 | 4.9% | 0 | 10 | 3.5% | 2 | 24 | 8.4% | 24 | 262 | 91.6% | 1,789 | 8.1% | ||||||
Wed | 03/26 | 30 | 166 | 316 | 10.5% | 110.7% | 2 | 16 | 5.1% | 0 | 10 | 3.2% | 2 | 26 | 8.2% | 28 | 290 | 91.8% | 2,079 | 6.7% | 100.0% | |||||
Thu | 03/27 | 51 | 194 | 367 | 16.1% | 112.1% | 3 | 19 | 5.2% | 0 | 10 | 2.7% | 3 | 29 | 7.9% | 48 | 338 | 92.1% | 2,417 | 5.8% | 41.7% | |||||
Fri | 03/28 | 58 | 222 | 425 | 15.8% | 109.4% | 6 | 25 | 5.9% | 1 | 11 | 2.6% | 7 | 36 | 8.5% | 51 | 389 | 91.5% | 2,806 | 5.4% | 37.9% | |||||
Sat | 03/29 | 45 | 248 | 470 | 10.6% | 111.7% | 18 | 43 | 9.1% | 1 | 12 | 2.6% | 19 | 55 | 11.7% | 26 | 415 | 88.3% | 3,221 | 5.4% | 32.4% | |||||
Sun | 03/30 | 60 | 283 | 530 | 12.8% | 114.6% | 21 | 64 | 12.1% | 1 | 13 | 2.5% | 22 | 77 | 14.5% | 38 | 453 | 85.5% | 3,674 | 5.3% | 31.0% | |||||
Mon | 03/31 | 80 | 350 | 610 | 15.1% | 134.6% | 15 | 79 | 13.0% | 2 | 15 | 2.5% | 17 | 94 | 15.4% | 63 | 516 | 84.6% | 4,190 | 5.8% | 15.8% | |||||
Tue | 04/1 | 75 | 399 | 685 | 12.3% | 139.5% | 5 | 84 | 12.3% | 1 | 16 | 2.3% | 6 | 100 | 14.6% | 69 | 585 | 85.4% | 4,775 | 5.6% | 13.0% | |||||
Wed | 04/2 | 23 | 392 | 708 | 3.4% | 124.1% | 5 | 89 | 12.6% | 0 | 16 | 2.3% | 5 | 105 | 14.8% | 18 | 603 | 85.2% | 5,378 | 5.1% | 10.7% | 160.0% | ||||
Thu | 04/3 | 26 | 367 | 734 | 3.7% | 100.0% | 9 | 98 | 13.4% | 1 | 17 | 2.3% | 10 | 115 | 15.7% | 16 | 619 | 84.3% | 5,997 | 4.6% | 9.8% | 70.8% | ||||
Fri | 04/4 | 27 | 336 | 761 | 3.7% | 79.1% | 1 | 99 | 13.0% | 0 | 17 | 2.2% | 1 | 116 | 15.2% | 26 | 645 | 84.8% | 6,642 | 4.0% | 8.4% | 58.6% | ||||
Sat | 04/5 | 39 | 330 | 800 | 5.1% | 70.2% | 8 | 107 | 13.4% | 3 | 20 | 2.5% | 11 | 127 | 15.9% | 28 | 673 | 84.1% | 7,315 | 4.3% | 9.0% | 54.1% | ||||
Sun | 04/6 | 42 | 312 | 842 | 5.3% | 58.9% | 9 | 116 | 13.8% | 2 | 22 | 2.6% | 11 | 138 | 16.4% | 31 | 704 | 83.6% | 8,019 | 4.2% | 8.9% | 52.4% | ||||
Mon | 04/7 | 41 | 273 | 883 | 4.9% | 44.8% | 11 | 127 | 14.4% | 1 | 23 | 2.6% | 12 | 150 | 17.0% | 29 | 733 | 83.0% | 8,752 | 3.8% | 8.8% | 24.2% | ||||
Tue | 04/8 | 45 | 243 | 928 | 5.1% | 35.5% | 11 | 138 | 14.9% | 2 | 25 | 2.7% | 13 | 163 | 17.6% | 32 | 765 | 82.4% | 9,517 | 3.6% | 8.7% | 20.3% | ||||
Wed | 04/9 | 42 | 262 | 970 | 4.5% | 37.0% | 4 | 142 | 14.6% | 2 | 27 | 2.8% | 6 | 169 | 17.4% | 36 | 801 | 82.6% | 10,318 | 3.8% | 8.5% | 18.0% | ||||
Thu | 04/10 | 28 | 264 | 998 | 2.9% | 36.0% | 12 | 154 | 15.4% | 3 | 30 | 3.0% | 15 | 184 | 18.4% | 13 | 814 | 81.6% | 11,132 | 4.1% | 8.2% | 17.3% | ||||
Fri | 04/11 | 61 | 298 | 1,059 | 6.1% | 39.2% | 15 | 169 | 16.0% | 2 | 32 | 3.0% | 17 | 201 | 19.0% | 44 | 858 | 81.0% | 11,990 | 4.2% | 7.5% | 15.8% | ||||
Sat | 04/12 | 49 | 308 | 1,108 | 4.6% | 38.5% | 46 | 215 | 19.4% | 3 | 35 | 3.2% | 49 | 250 | 22.6% | 0 | 858 | 77.4% | 12,848 | 4.4% | 7.4% | 15.8% | ||||
Sun | 04/13 | 42 | 308 | 1,150 | 3.8% | 36.6% | 8 | 223 | 19.4% | 5 | 40 | 3.5% | 13 | 263 | 22.9% | 29 | 887 | 77.1% | 13,735 | 4.8% | 7.5% | 16.2% | ||||
Mon | 04/14 | 40 | 307 | 1,190 | 3.5% | 34.8% | 6 | 229 | 19.2% | 7 | 47 | 3.9% | 13 | 276 | 23.2% | 27 | 914 | 76.8% | 14,649 | 5.3% | 7.7% | 18.1% | ||||
Tue | 04/15 | 42 | 304 | 1,232 | 3.5% | 32.8% | 14 | 243 | 19.7% | 9 | 56 | 4.5% | 23 | 299 | 24.3% | 19 | 933 | 75.7% | 15,582 | 6.0% | 8.2% | 19.6% | ||||
Averages | 35 | 258 | 17.7% | 197.0% | 9 | 11.0% | 2 | 3.0% | 11 | 14.0% | 27 | 88.8% | 9.3% | 18.6% | 40.1% | |||||||||||
Day | Total | % | Day | Total | % | Day | Total | % | Day | Total | % | |||||||||||||||
Day | Date | New | Week | Total | One Day | Week | Got well | Dead | Total Gone | Now In Hospitals | Total Hosp Days | Week | 2 Week | 3 Week | ||||||||||||
Time | Cases | Increase | Disposition | Dead as % of prior time |
|
|
|
Donate Here By Secure Server
FreeRepublic , LLC PO BOX 9771 FRESNO, CA 93794
|
|
Is your chart saying 75.7% of those who have gotten sick are still in the hospital?
How many are still on respirators, or is that figure available?
If that many are still in the hospital, and SARS gets out among the general population with a high contagion rate, it will quickly overwhelm health services - including available respirators. This means the death rate will skyrocket.
Am I wrong?
Yes, the chart says that. I've not got figures of how many are on respirators, but about 120 are in intensive care units. I suspect you are right about what happens if SARS spreads widely through the population.
Brutal, true, but not 'Captain Tripps.'
That would be more than "brutal".
People have been comparing this disease to the emergence of the Spanish flu. If I recall, the mortality rate was much less than that. Not only that, but the rehab rate was a lot shorter. You either died or you didn't. You didn't linger long either way.
The picture seems very ominous. It doesn't seem like the disease is being well contained and it isn't burning itself out.
I think I'll run out today and get some surgical masks before the run starts.
It's already in Texas .... Lubbock, Houston and Collin County all have reported cases.
The run has already started. The prices for the masks are increasing.
The continuing infection of health workers bodes ill for the long run. Are the steps that have been taken for isolation ineffective?
They are braver than me. I would have quit about two weeks ago. The disturbing thing is that health care workers must be smarter and more aware of how to avoid the virus than the general population.....still they are falling. Not good.
I've read that Asians in this country are causing a shortage of surgical masks by sending them to friends and family in Asia.
According to documents obtained by CTV News that were circulated among health officials on Sunday and Monday, SARS infections have been spreading among "a religious group associated with the Centenary/funeral home case." The "Centenary funeral home case" refers to one of the original SARS infections in Toronto. A person infected with SARS was known to have visited a local funeral home, and people who had visited that funeral home were asked to be on the lookout for symptoms of SARS. Those cases were apparently misdiagnosed when they originally turned up in family medical practices and emergency rooms, rather than being screened through the SARS clinics that had been set up in the past 2 weeks. The misdiagnoses raise the possibility that the infections have spread further into the general population.
"Some of these cases were initially given a diagnosis other than SARS despite multiple visits to hospital emergency rooms," according to a Sunday memo by Dr. Sheela Basrur, Toronto's chief medical officer. "This was due to the apparent lack of a clear epidemiological link to a known SARS case."
This sort of incompetence is astounding to me. If these people were in waiting rooms and god know where else, Toronto could be a time bomb ticking.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.