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Saddam may have fled as house of cards collapses
The Scotsman ^ | April 14, 2003 | DAN MCDOUGALL AND SHARON WARD

Posted on 04/13/2003 6:05:40 PM PDT by MadIvan

ON Saturday, the seven of diamonds handed himself in. Yesterday, it emerged that the five of spades - Saddam Hussein’s half-brother Watban al-Tikriti - had been captured. Yet the ace of spades, Saddam Hussein himself, remains elusive.

The collapse of the house of cards that is Saddam’s regime continues to gather pace.

Watban al-Tikriti, a former interior minister, had been preparing to cross the mountain road into Syria; he was only 15 miles from the border, on the winding road north-west of Mosul, when he came upon a vehicle checkpoint manned by advancing Kurdish forces.

After the surrender of Lt General Amer al-Saadi, Iraq’s leading chemical and biological weapons adviser (the seven of diamonds), it was another major coup. Al-Saadi said he had no knowledge of Saddam’s whereabouts; it is not known if Al-Tikriti will be more forthcoming.

Watban Al-Tikriti was captured shortly after Mosul came under control of Kurdish fighters and US troops when Iraqi forces dug into positions around the town gave up without a fight.

In the wake of both arrests US General, Tommy Frank, the commander of the coalition effort in Iraq, disclosed that US forces had samples of DNA from Saddam and other Iraqi leaders for potential use in the ongoing effort to determine if he is alive or dead. He said: "DNA will play a huge part in our efforts to track down those within Saddam’s regime. We have the forensic capability to chase that down and we will chase that down. As for Saddam, he’s either dead or he’s running a lot, but he’s not commanding anything right now."

Brigadier General John Kelly of the US Army suggested the ‘deck of cards’ hunt was going well. He said: "Right now all the big guys have left the country - I don’t know what ‘big guy’ means anymore.

"Anyone who wants to surrender will be given time to come out and do so."

Last night allegations also emerged that a number of high-ranking Saddam loyalists - perhaps even the leader himself - may have escaped Iraq at the outset of the war in a civilian convoy to Syria led by fleeing diplomats from the Russian embassy in Baghdad. The group of vehicles, which contained the Russian ambassador, was bombed by the Americans after it was allegedly mistaken for a fleeing Iraqi military convoy. Although officials in Moscow have denied the claims, allied intelligence sources have learned that in addition to Russia, the French, Chinese and Israeli secret services have all launched their own determined efforts to trace Saddam and his cohorts.

David Capitanchik, an expert in the Middle East at Robert Gordon University in Aberdeen, said the possibility of Russia helping the Iraqi regime was not far-fetched.

He added: "I wouldn’t be surprised if it was true a number of senior Iraqis had escaped in a convoy of Russian diplomats. Since Saddam came to power the Russians have been very close to his regime. It must be remembered that Saddam owes Russia $12 billion for arms deliveries and economic aid and the two are closely tied through this."

According to Professor Capitanchik, the fact that all roads for Saddam’s regime seem to lead to Syria is also no real surprise.

He said: "Like Iraq, Syria is dominated by another branch of the Baath party and, although historically strained, relationships between the two branches have steadily improved since the build up to the second Gulf conflict. I have no doubt that a great number of senior Iraqis are in hiding in Syria and that the authorities in Damascus are giving them serious help. Another important issue is the fact that the Syrians are very dependent on Iraqi oil so again debts may be being settled by offering sanctuary."

Faced with foreign intervention, the coalition has redoubled its own efforts to seek Saddam and those connected with his regime. It is understood that a task force has been assembled in Baghdad, comprising of MI6, CIA, SAS and US Special Force agents who are all cleared to kill an agreed list of targets, including Saddam and his sons Uday and Qusay.

This taskforce has been joined for the first time by communications experts from the Special Collection Service. Its primary role has been to plant sophisticated eavesdropping equipment in target areas. Their role includes intensive electronic surveillance, while voice-analysis experts have identified Saddam's speech patterns to match them with any intercepted communications. Ministry of Defence sources also revealed yesterday that an international operation to track down Saddam Hussein's personal fortune had been launched by US and UK investigators. It is believed that Tony Blair has personally asked his officials to research the former dictator's wealth, understood to be worth anything between £1.3 billion and £13 billion. Substantial funds have already been frozen in the UK pending further investigation and finance chiefs have asked banks to double check the origin of all Iraqi funds under their control.


TOPICS: Extended News; Foreign Affairs; Government; News/Current Events; US: District of Columbia; United Kingdom; War on Terror
KEYWORDS: 5ofspades; aceofspades; blair; bush; fiveofspades; iraq; mostwanted; saddam; sevenofdiamonds; uk; us; war; warlist; watbanaltikriti
If Syria shelters Saddam, that is enough of a trigger for a war there too. If Saddam is not dead, but there, then we must get him - the Iraqi people will not be reassured until we make it clear that there is no chance whatsoever for him to return.

Regards, Ivan


1 posted on 04/13/2003 6:05:40 PM PDT by MadIvan
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To: hoosiermama; Dutchgirl; Freedom'sWorthIt; Carolina; patricia; annyokie; ...
Bump!
2 posted on 04/13/2003 6:05:52 PM PDT by MadIvan
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To: MadIvan
This Syria everyone talks about, is it a Province of Canada or a County in Massachusetts?
3 posted on 04/13/2003 6:07:39 PM PDT by Bluntpoint
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4 posted on 04/13/2003 6:08:22 PM PDT by Support Free Republic (Your support keeps Free Republic going strong!)
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To: Bluntpoint
It's sort of like East Germany, but with more sand.

Regards, Ivan

5 posted on 04/13/2003 6:09:00 PM PDT by MadIvan
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To: Badabing Badaboom; Fred Mertz; Mitchell; aristeides
David Capitanchik, an expert in the Middle East at Robert Gordon University in Aberdeen, said the possibility of Russia helping the Iraqi regime was not far-fetched.

So, did Putin agree to take the heat? It will be interesting to see how the Bush-Putin relationship fares, once this is "old news." I have a hunch it may turn out to be just fine.

6 posted on 04/13/2003 6:13:22 PM PDT by The Great Satan (Revenge, Terror and Extortion: A Guide for the Perplexed)
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To: MadIvan
Then we have to see that this East Germany, of which you speak, does not develope the technology for making sand.
7 posted on 04/13/2003 6:14:55 PM PDT by Bluntpoint
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To: MadIvan; Bluntpoint
ROFL!!

Check this out:

IRAQ: Busy Baghdad Highway to Damascus - (Saddam elite fleeing Iraq into Syria)

8 posted on 04/13/2003 6:15:20 PM PDT by Ernest_at_the_Beach (Where is Saddam? and where is Tom Daschle?)
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To: *war_list; W.O.T.; Dog Gone; Grampa Dave; blam; Sabertooth; NormsRevenge; Gritty; SierraWasp; ...
OFFICIAL BUMP(TOPIC)LIST
9 posted on 04/13/2003 6:16:36 PM PDT by Ernest_at_the_Beach (Where is Saddam? and where is Tom Daschle?)
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To: Bluntpoint
"This Syria everyone talks about, is it a Province of Canada or a County in Massachusetts?"

LOL - we neither know, nor care. Syria's name is now NEXT!

10 posted on 04/13/2003 6:19:34 PM PDT by jocon307
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To: MadIvan
I suspect he was gone before the first bomb hit the fan.
11 posted on 04/13/2003 6:20:27 PM PDT by Great Dane
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To: jocon307
Have the playing cards already been printed?
12 posted on 04/13/2003 6:21:42 PM PDT by Bluntpoint
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To: Bluntpoint
This reminds me of a joke: "What would happen if Saudi Arabia went communist?" "Nothing. Then after 50 years there would be a shortage of sand."
13 posted on 04/13/2003 6:25:18 PM PDT by Wilhelm Tell (Lurking since 1997!)
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To: Bluntpoint
Stereotypical behavior indicative of the uninformed. Though sometimes it is embarrassing to admit I was born in Massachusetts.
14 posted on 04/13/2003 6:27:12 PM PDT by ummark
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To: MadIvan
I'm sure it would be beneficial to the 3rd I.D. and 101 A.B.'s morale to leave the Middle East via a Mediterranean port.
15 posted on 04/13/2003 6:28:23 PM PDT by SnuffaBolshevik
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To: Bluntpoint
This Syria everyone talks about, is it a Province of Canada or a County in Massachusetts?

Trenchant commentary. Trenchant, indeed.

Good shot, old boy! Good shot!!

16 posted on 04/13/2003 6:29:35 PM PDT by dodger
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To: MadIvan
I assume that Baghdad Bob is one of the Jokers in this deck?
17 posted on 04/13/2003 6:36:59 PM PDT by sam_paine
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To: Bluntpoint
"This Syria everyone talks about, is it a Province of Canada or a County in Massachusetts?"

Close, but Syria is actually "West Iraq"...like Virginia and West "By God" Virginia.

"Iraq" and "West Iraq" will become once again "Assyria"...after we finish mopping up the whole thing. They say it's as big as California or France, so it will be like California was divided into two states and we're going to clean them up and put them back together.

After all, we have to throw out all those bad babies with the Baath water!

I crack myself up!

18 posted on 04/13/2003 7:07:54 PM PDT by KriegerGeist ("The weapons of our warefare are not carnal, but mighty though God for pulling down of strongholds")
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To: MadIvan
"...It's sort of like East Germany, but with more sand. Regards, Ivan..."

Oh no! Not more Trabbies! Following those buggers is like being in a perpetual lawn-mowing tournament.

Stay well, Ivan............FRegards

19 posted on 04/13/2003 11:43:23 PM PDT by gonzo (Keep watching - maybe I'll do a trick.............)
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