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To: bonesmccoy
>Bioweapons should not have a 5% mortality rate.

Check out the WHO page
listing mortality stats.
All over the globe

the death rates are much
higher than just five percent.
The numbers get skewed

because the figures
for the US are grossly
different from the world's.

(My suspicions are
that this issue divides up
people who can see

reasonably, say,
six months into the future,
and people who can't.

If you have cases
that almost double each week,
then even a small

mortality rate
adds up to huge numbers in
a very few months.

This is one issue
where I'm praying nay-sayers
have picked the right side.)

78 posted on 04/12/2003 2:30:06 PM PDT by theFIRMbss
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To: theFIRMbss
The mortality rate is incorrect.

If you compare the number of fatalities/number hospitalized, then you will calculate an artificially elevated mortality rate.

The fact is that there are probably cases which predate the first admission to the hospital. There are other cases which are undiagnosed, like being exposed and successfully mounting an immune response.

You can't quantify the number of people exposed and that never became ill.

That's why you can't discern the actual penetration of the virus into a population and you can't discern the actual mortality rate.

I hold to my comments stated on this forum multiple times.

SARS is like many other cold viruses that periodically appear. Initially, the virus is rather virulent and creates severe symptoms. As the infection spreads, the virus replicates and becomes less virulent. The virus spreads further and eventually creates enough immunity in the population to not create a massive problem.

While we should be concerned about the disease, it does not warrant absurd levels of hysteria.
79 posted on 04/12/2003 8:29:22 PM PDT by bonesmccoy (Defeat the terrorists... Vaccinate!)
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