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To: theFIRMbss
The mortality rate is incorrect.

If you compare the number of fatalities/number hospitalized, then you will calculate an artificially elevated mortality rate.

The fact is that there are probably cases which predate the first admission to the hospital. There are other cases which are undiagnosed, like being exposed and successfully mounting an immune response.

You can't quantify the number of people exposed and that never became ill.

That's why you can't discern the actual penetration of the virus into a population and you can't discern the actual mortality rate.

I hold to my comments stated on this forum multiple times.

SARS is like many other cold viruses that periodically appear. Initially, the virus is rather virulent and creates severe symptoms. As the infection spreads, the virus replicates and becomes less virulent. The virus spreads further and eventually creates enough immunity in the population to not create a massive problem.

While we should be concerned about the disease, it does not warrant absurd levels of hysteria.
79 posted on 04/12/2003 8:29:22 PM PDT by bonesmccoy (Defeat the terrorists... Vaccinate!)
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To: bonesmccoy
>While we should be concerned about the disease, it does not warrant absurd levels of hysteria.

Let's the two of us
make an effort not to get
Zotted this summer.

If we're both still here
(in all senses of that phrase!)
in about six months,

the numbers of sick
and dead will make it clear which
of us is correct.

I hope we're both here,
and I hope I'll be the one
admitting defeat!

80 posted on 04/13/2003 11:10:46 AM PDT by theFIRMbss
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