1) CDC and the
World Health Organization
provide up-to-date
numbers on cases
and deaths. Interestingly,
all over the globe
the death rate from SARS
hovers around 5 percent.
With the exception
of the United
States. Here the death rate is nil.
More than a hundred
cases, and no deaths. [!]
You decide if you believe
our health officials.
2) Last week, the US
"officially" had about
70 SARS hits.
This week there are more
than 140.
Even if the death
rate is 3%,
can you calculate the deaths
after, say, six months,
with a case count that
doubles every week?* Of course,
nature is never
linear, but if
this delta doesn't change fast,
the future looks tough.
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* calculate the deaths after six months with a case count that doubles every week?
x = 72
For 1 to 24
x*2 = x
End For
Print "cases:", x
Print "deaths:", x * .03