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Logical Fallacies, Formal and Informal
The Autonomist ^ | March, 2003 | Reginald Firehammer

Posted on 04/06/2003 10:12:13 AM PDT by Hank Kerchief

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To: tame
misleading and incorrect

We'll get no further than does the UN in our debates until we all agree to certain definitions. Even Clinton knows that.

41 posted on 04/06/2003 1:25:25 PM PDT by RightWhale
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To: Hank Kerchief
Can you devise an experiment to prove (or by its failure, disprove) the idea of evolution? If no experiment is possible, does that mean evolution is not a theory?
42 posted on 04/06/2003 1:29:50 PM PDT by plusone
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To: Hank Kerchief; Fzob; P.O.E.; PeterPrinciple; MWS; reflecting; DannyTN; FourtySeven; x; ...


PHILOSOPHY PING


The future of free will
Address:http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/886565/posts
43 posted on 04/06/2003 1:32:32 PM PDT by tpaine
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To: NukeMan
science is a human activity

Couldn't disagree with you there.

Feyerabend! Can you imagine what Socrates and he would have said while walking among the shades!

44 posted on 04/06/2003 1:33:18 PM PDT by cornelis
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To: tpaine; Hank Kerchief
Thanks for the pings. I've got company coming over today - I'll read this later.
45 posted on 04/06/2003 1:51:22 PM PDT by P.O.E. (God Bless and keep safe our troops.)
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To: betty boop
As to social policy, I'd have to give it some more thought. My initial impression is that, to the extent that the effects of social policy can be observed, perhaps there is a way the falsifiability principle might apply in social policy contexts.

There is some evidence that could be used by so-called "social scientists," but they usually don't want to be bothered. For example:

1. Whenever a socialist and a free-market society exist side-by-side, people almost always flee to the free-market society. Examples: East & West Berlin, Red China & Hong Kong, Cuba & Florida. The refugees never go in the other direction.

2. Whenever people have a choice of living communally or with private property, they very rarely choose communal living. Examples: Israel's kibutz system, occasional communal experiments in the US.

3. Controlled economies never out-produce private economies, when all factors are equal. Examples are rare, but the best is the private plots that Stalin permitted to exist on his communal farms, which were about ten times as productive as the nearby land.

4. Cutting marginal tax rates always increases tax revenues. At least that's the lesson of Kennedy's tax rate cuts, and Reagan's.

But such experiments are rare, and zealots for controlled economies can always argue that their system hasn't really been given a good trial. There are other experiments too. The war on poverty has failed, the war on drugs has failed. But the advocates of these programs won't ever admit it. So whatcha gonna do? If "social scientists" don't want to behave in a truly scientific manner, and accept the failures of their experiments, one must conclude that they aren't engaged in science at all.
46 posted on 04/06/2003 1:57:26 PM PDT by PatrickHenry (Felix, qui potuit rerum cognoscere causas.)
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To: avg_freeper
I believe there are many scientific truths that are untestable. For instance, the mathematical truth that ...

Math is fundamentally different from science. Math is about constructs of the mind, such as "numbers" and "primes" and "equalateral triangles" and their relationships. It may or may not apply to physical reality, but there need not be such a reality for the concepts to have strict logical consistancy.

Science, OTOH, is about nature and the way things work. Light moves at a certain speed, bends through water and gravitational fields, and can dislodge electrons from certain metals. When you mix certain chemicals, they change color or explode. Electric current causes compass needles to move. Etc. Scientific "facts" are less strongly known than mathematical facts - there could be some level of external gravitational field, or velocity, at which what is believed to be true turns out to be measurably not so. But the fact that 2+2 = 2x2 = 2^2 does not depend on gravity, the speed of light, or anything else.

there are an infinite number of primes is untestable. This truth is easy to prove but impossible to test.

I disagree: the proof is not only simple, but it certainly generates what must be an infinite list of primes. The proof is, take all the primes you know of, multiply them together, and add 1. The new number can't possibly be wholly divided by any of its divisors - it therefore must be prime or be a composite number containing prime factors not in the original list. No matter how many primes you multiply, there is always at least one more. Hence, the number of primes must be, quite simply, infinite.

But I’m not a mathematician and perhaps a rigorous proof is equivalent to a test. I differentiate the two myself.

A proof is different from a test: A proof is a demonstration of certainty, while a test is merely a demonstration of likelihood. To my knowledge there are no proofs in science: It might yet be shown that everything presently understood is wrong within some domain, that we haven't explored yet and might not even be aware exists.

47 posted on 04/06/2003 1:57:29 PM PDT by coloradan
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To: cornelis
I can't really imagine, but I'd guess a lot of shouting going on...
48 posted on 04/06/2003 2:01:21 PM PDT by NukeMan
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To: coloradan
You are right; I realized my point was incorrect a while after posting it. In fact the common technique for proving an infinite number of primes is through a proof by contradiction. This would subject the hypothesis "there are an infinite number of primes" to a test of truth. So in retrospect I guess I can't think of any untestable scientific truths.
49 posted on 04/06/2003 2:12:10 PM PDT by avg_freeper (Gunga galunga. Gunga, gunga galunga)
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To: Hank Kerchief
I won't even attempt to identify the fallacies you have stated as truths as they are too many. You're trying to make opinion and personal belief pass as fact. It won't work with me. if you want to discuss philosophy (or any other subject, for that matter), it is your responisbility to state in to me in a manner which is clear, concise and precise, not my responsibility to somehow guess what you mean and then hope that I am right and discussing what you mean and not what I erroneously think you mean. In other words, it is the duty of the communicator to state his case in such a manner as to be understood. Mind reading in not a valid tool in a logical discussion. A concept from NLP is sometimes useful: The results you are getting is what you are communicating. This means that when someone questions what one of your assertions means, or totally misunderstands it, that you have failed to state it effectively (I'm not talking about disagreeing with the assertion, just not understanding it; although I would hold that much disagreement is the result of misunderstanding the speaker, not actual opposition to the position the speaker wishes to profess).

Try going back and studying the fallacies link you provided and then identifying the fallacies in your post and you will be able to state whatever position you have in a manner that I can understand it. Otherwise, we might as well be speaking similar but different languages. Languages just similar enough to cause us to believe we are speaking the same language without realizing we are speaking some type of gibberish to each other.

50 posted on 04/06/2003 2:18:16 PM PDT by templar
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To: PatrickHenry
Whenever people have a choice of living communally or with private property, they very rarely choose communal living. Examples: Israel's kibutz system, occasional communal experiments in the US.

Excellent observations, PatrickHenry, all of 'em.

The many communal experiments in the United States -- the Owens Colony, Oneida Colony, Brook Farm, Fruitlands, et al., were all miserable failures. They were "home-grown" social experiments that didn't work here just as they haven't worked anywhere else. We are talking about 150+ years of "experiments." How much longer do we have to wait for folks to just reasonably concede that the fundamental premise of all such experiments -- that one may legitimately deal with human problems from the standpoint of group rather than individual -- is fatally flawed, ill-founded, from the get-go? Why do we need to give the folks who want to keep running this same experiment over and over again, "more time?" Isn't it time just to move on?

I've recently read that enthusiasm even for the kibbutz system is declining....

Thank you so much for writing, PH.

51 posted on 04/06/2003 2:26:25 PM PDT by betty boop (If there were no brave men, there would be no free men. God bless our troops.)
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To: betty boop
Thank you so much for your excellent analysis! I agree!!!
52 posted on 04/06/2003 2:44:57 PM PDT by Alamo-Girl
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To: avg_freeper
Mathematics differs from the physical sciences by using proofs, not experiments. This does not preclude mathematicsl experiments from being useful.
53 posted on 04/06/2003 2:47:46 PM PDT by Doctor Stochastic (Vegetabilisch = chaotisch is der Charakter der Modernen. - Friedrich Schlegel)
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To: Hank Kerchief
There are scientific truths that cannot necessarily be falsified.

Forgive the poorly worded sentence.

There are scientific truths that are not "falsifiable" in theory.

In other words, simply because a belief or theory is not subject to repeatable and observational "operational" scientific testing, this does not mean that belief or theory is false.

54 posted on 04/06/2003 2:55:57 PM PDT by tame
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To: betty boop
I've recently read that enthusiasm even for the kibbutz system is declining....

I don't think it was ever wildly popular. And I've read that most of the young people raised in such places leave them and don't return. I think the system survives mainly because in some of their political parties it's kind of an advantage to have it in your background, like being raised in a log cabin or something. The only thing that is acceptable about the system is that it's voluntary. That's what makes it such a neat experiment. About 97% of the population rejects it.

55 posted on 04/06/2003 3:01:22 PM PDT by PatrickHenry (Felix, qui potuit rerum cognoscere causas.)
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To: cornelis
Be silent? Is that all? Great Zot! What you say!

I suspect that Wittgenstein was a rather lonely man. But that's probably true of anyone who has only one pair of glasses with which to view the world, be it philosophy or natural science or religion.

What he as said is basically that if we can't speak of something in an understandable manner we should say nothing at all. The Tractatus just lays down a set of rules for doing this within the confines of the world as it can be understood by natural science. There are many things in human experience that cannot be discussed by science or other epistemology.

56 posted on 04/06/2003 3:03:52 PM PDT by templar
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To: tame
In other words, simply because a belief or theory is not subject to repeatable and observational "operational" scientific testing, this does not mean that belief or theory is false.

If, in principle, a belief can't be tested, it isn't a scientific belief. It may, as you say, be a true belief. But how would one know?

57 posted on 04/06/2003 3:04:09 PM PDT by PatrickHenry (Felix, qui potuit rerum cognoscere causas.)
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To: Hank Kerchief
"If there are sceintific truths which are "untestable," could you please name one."

I assume by "testing" you mean (as I do) at least repeatability and observation.

Any scientific singularity would not be subject to such testing.

58 posted on 04/06/2003 3:06:28 PM PDT by tame
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To: Hank Kerchief
If there are sceintific truths which are "untestable," could you please name one.

There are several in number theory, such as Euclid's second theorem that there are an infinite number of prime numbers. Provable, but untestable.

59 posted on 04/06/2003 3:08:49 PM PDT by P.O.E. (God Bless and keep safe our troops.)
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To: PatrickHenry
If, in principle, a belief can't be tested, it isn't a scientific belief.

Why not? In other words, how would you define a scientific belief?

60 posted on 04/06/2003 3:08:52 PM PDT by tame
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