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Does Anthrax Scare You More Than Driving?
The Conservative Truth ^ | 11/4/01 | Tom Barrett

Posted on 03/17/2003 7:55:34 PM PST by Violette

SWEAT NOT YOUR HEART BE TROUBLED. I often deliberately mis-quote the Bible verse "Let not your heart be troubled..." as "Sweat not..." because it puts this comforting thought in everyday language. We hear, "Don’t sweat it," or "Don’t sweat the small stuff," nearly every day. It turns out that anthrax and many of the other "weapons of mass destruction" the news media is obsessed with may indeed be small stuff. Don’t forget that the main goal of the media is not to inform you. It is to keep you glued to the boob tube or reading their newspapers so they can sell more advertising. Let’s put biological weapons such as anthrax and smallpox, as well as chemical and nuclear weapons in a sensible context.

Anthrax first. In an article on the Fox News website, "Anthrax Drugs Could Spur More Common Killers," Dr. Stuart Levy of the Tufts School of Medicine in Boston, predicted, "There will be many more people affected by the antibiotic resistance effect than will be affected by anthrax." Philip Hanna, an anthrax researcher at the University of Michigan, says, "For people who are on Cipro for 60 days, there’s a good chance their normal bacteria will become resistant." This is particularly harmful for people such as cancer patients on immune system suppressing drugs. People who talk their doctors into giving them Cipro "just in case" may be doing themselves more harm than good.

There have been four deaths nationwide from anthrax in almost two months. That is one-millionth of one per cent of the population of the United States. More people than that die from car accidents in this country every hour. Some anthrax facts: Anthrax is not contagious. 95% of all anthrax cases are of the less lethal skin anthrax type; 80% recover completely with NO treatment. 90% of inhaled anthrax sufferers die without treatment; most who receive antibiotics survive. The good news is that with the current awareness of the disease almost everyone receives timely treatment.

The best news for those who fear both anthrax and smallpox attacks is that the terrorist "test" of anthrax has failed. I believe that the letters sent to media and political personalities had three purposes. First, to garner wide publicity by sending the letters to well-known people. This worked. Second, to cause widespread panic among the populace. This failed. Third, to determine whether this was a viable method of weapon delivery. This was a miserable failure. Osama and his gang are not happy campers.

What about the possibility of chemical warfare? Let’s start with a recent example of the ineffectiveness of such weapons. We have all heard about the nerve gas attacks at crowded Japanese subway stations. In spite of perfect conditions for the attacks, less than 10% were injured and only one percent of the injured died. The injured were better in a few hours. Just to show you how the media exaggerates such situations to get more advertising dollars, 60 Minutes once interviewed an "expert" who stated that one drop of nerve gas could kill a thousand people. He failed to disclose that this was not statistical, but was merely theoretical. The Japanese subway attacks blew that theory all apart, but 60 Minutes still reruns that segment periodically.

Chemical weapons are often referred to by the news media as "weapons of mass destruction." The facts simply do not support this description. Our military does not classify chemical weapons as "weapons of mass destruction." They are considered "Area Denial Weapons," whose main purpose is to force infantrymen to leave a specified area, or to degrade their ability to fight should their duty force them to stay in that area. As civilians, we don’t have to stay anywhere that we don’t wish. And with chemical weapons, when you leave the area you almost always leave the risk behind. The main antidotes to chemical weapon exposure are what your mother would recommend: fresh air and lots of soap and water.

Chemical weapons are not true gases; they are airborne particles, and as such tend to settle quickly to the ground. They don’t work in freezing weather, they break down quickly in hot weather, and are easily dispersed by wind. The bottom line: Chemical weapons must be used in large quantities and delivered very precisely under near-perfect conditions in order to be effective. For these reasons, they will probably not be used by terrorists. If they are, they are likely to be no more effective than the chemical attacks in the Japanese subways. In case you haven’t noticed, the terrorists there stopped using this method. Yes, I know they caught some of the people who perpetrated the attacks, but you can be sure they didn’t imprison the whole organization. If this method had worked, they would still be using it.

Nuclear bombs are the ONLY true weapons of mass destruction on the face of the earth. According to weapons experts, if the terrorists possess such weapons, they will almost certainly be low-yield one kiloton bombs or smaller. This means that they are not capable of leveling large cities; the area of total destruction would be limited to about a one half mile radius of the blast. That’s not much comfort to the people in that circle, but remember that we are trying to put the threat into perspective. If you are unfortunate enough to be close to a blast you will probably experience radiation sickness, but in most cases this is a treatable condition.

The main thing to remember about both nuclear weapons and effective chemical and biological weapons is simple: The terrorists don’t have them. Saddam Hussein, bin Laden and their partners in crime have spent twenty years and billions of dollars trying to acquire or develop weapons that would assure mass casualties. If they had them, don’t you think they would use them? Try to imagine that a bear has killed your one of your children, and has come back for more. If you had a shotgun, would you use a squirt gun? The terrorists hate us as much as we would hate an animal that killed one of our children. Yet they are using squirt guns like these amateurish anthrax letters to attack us.

I have provided a link below to an excellent article by retired army weapons expert "Red" Thomas which I hope you will all take the time to read. I would like to quote part of his common sense approach to this issue. "Overall preparation for any terrorist attack is the same as you’d take for a big storm. If you want a gas mask, fine, go get one. I know this stuff and I’m not getting one. I told my Mom not to bother with one either (how’s that for confidence?). We have a week’s worth of cash, several days worth of canned goods and plenty of soap and water. The government is mobilizing over this threat because they have to protect every inch of America. You only have to protect your family and yourself. By doing that, you’re helping the country. Knowledge is how we can rob these people of their most desired goal, your terror."

When I called Sgt. Thomas to verify his article, he mentioned something that made me realize just how great a disservice the news media has done to this nation. He mentioned an interview in which General Giap, the Commander of the North Vietnamese forces during the Vietnam War bragged about how the North Vietnamese propaganda apparatus manipulated the U.S. press. He stated that the misinformation that our press distributed daily was worth more than two full infantry divisions to the North Vietnamese government. Osama bin Laden has learned from these Communists. He is manipulating our press today.

Please believe what I have been telling you since September 11. Killing Americans is NOT the terrorists’ primary purpose. They want us cowering in fear. They want us to be so incapacitated that we cannot live normal lives. They want to TERRORIZE us. Don’t let them.

(CREDITS: For information on anthrax I researched many sources, but got my most valuable information from the Fox News website. The article mentioned above was written by SFC "Red" Thomas (Ret.), Armor Master Gunner of Mesa, AZ. I drew heavily from his piece for information on chemical and nuclear warfare. This article was circulated as an email, which I thank reader Ed Magi for forwarding to us. Sgt. Thomas has given us permission to reproduce his article on our website. Click on this link: www.ConservativeTruth.org then click the "Attack on America Page" link. You will see his article, "The Real Deal About Nuclear, Chemical, and Biological Warfare," listed there.)


TOPICS: Anthrax Scare; Foreign Affairs; News/Current Events; War on Terror
KEYWORDS: anthrax; chemicalweapon; massdestruction
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Looks like we need to revisit the facts.....
1 posted on 03/17/2003 7:55:34 PM PST by Violette
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To: Violette

2 posted on 03/17/2003 7:58:25 PM PST by The Great Satan (Revenge, Terror and Extortion: A Guide for the Perplexed)
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Comment #3 Removed by Moderator

To: Violette
Nuclear bombs are the ONLY true weapons of mass destruction on the face of the earth.

Yes. True. A point, however, that is not clear to the media. Some people do go on about WMD's. But then they need to be shouting "the sky is falling" to sell commercials.

4 posted on 03/17/2003 7:59:50 PM PST by dark_lord
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To: Violette

Study: 3 Million Could Die In Calif. Attack

Anthrax Poses Biggest Threat, Study Says

POSTED: 10:09 a.m. PDT September 4, 2002
UPDATED: 10:33 a.m. PDT September 4, 2002

A little-noticed study ponders the unthinkable: What would happen if a terrorist unleashed a chemical, nuclear or biological weapon in the nation's most populous state?

The answer is as chilling as the question: In a worst-case scenario, as many as 3 million Californians would perish.

The study by the Santa Monica-based RAND Institute, commissioned by state legislative leaders, was written with an eye to helping California prepare for an attack by a terrorist armed with a weapon of mass destruction.

Anthrax and other lethal biological agents pose the biggest danger in the wrong hands -- far worse than a small nuclear device or a chemical attack with a ton of sarin gas, the substance used in a 1995 attack on the Tokyo subway, the RAND study found.

In a worst-case scenario, a nuclear or chemical attack in San Francisco, San Diego, or Los Angeles would kill as many as 80,000 people. But 220 pounds of anthrax, if properly dispersed under optimum conditions, would cover 180 square miles. Deaths could reach in the millions.

Russell W. Glenn, a retired Army lieutenant colonel who co-authored the report, noted that when such strikes have occurred they do far less harm than predicted. Glenn said he offered the numbers to help the state prepare into the future as terrorist groups refine their knowledge of lethal technologies.

"The chances of these kinds of casualties occurring in the near term are pretty remote," he said. "To truly cause these kinds of casualties not only takes excellent organization, you've got to have the right quantities. You've got to have the right kind of agent."

No state can ever be ready for a weapon of mass destruction, but California is better prepared than most, Glenn said. The state's experience with all kinds of natural disasters makes California better prepared.

"We've developed a response system that will put us in great stead for any occasion," said Dallas Jones, director of the California Office of Emergency Services, the lead state agency in earthquakes, fires and floods. "In preparing better for those kinds of activities, we are better prepared for terrorism."

The Office of Emergency Services bills itself as the world's most experienced emergency management agency.

If there were another terrorism incident in the United States, "there is not a better-prepared place to be than in the state of California," the agency claims on its Web site.

FBI counterterrorism officials, too, say they are on alert for the next attack, and are constantly conducting joint training and coordination exercises.

But the study points out deficiencies in California's preparedness plan:

  • Two 22-member California National Guard teams were trained by the Defense Department at the behest of Congress to assist local authorities in the event of an attack involving a weapon of mass destruction. But RAND found California's Civil Support Teams would be "unable to handle a truly mass event with hundreds or thousands of casualties."

  • It would take the California Army National Guard's decontamination unit 24 hours to 36 hours to arrive at the scene of a disaster, forcing local authorities to do the job of emergency decontamination.

  • The state relies on emergency rooms and clinics to identify a biological attack and lacks an effective early warning system in the event of such an attack, which may takes hours or days to make itself known. RAND said an assessment is needed of the ability of California hospitals to respond to a weapon of mass destruction.

    RAND found the state does many things right. For instance, an F-16 jet would ferry samples from a suspected terrorist attack against livestock to a federal facility in Plum Island, N.Y., the only location in the United States where foreign animal diseases can be studied. The move shaves 12 hours off the state's verification and reaction time, RAND said.

    But there's also a growing chance that terrorists will seek biological materials from California's own hospitals and laboratories, according to a separate RAND report.

    "The stakes are potentially high for California, a state that is home to numerous industries and universities with access to these biomaterials," notes another RAND analyst, John Parachini.

    Parachini said that state authorities he interviewed did not know the precise number of facilities or personnel who have access to these agents. At least two places in California have the type of facilities needed to handle lethal agents.

    Parachini's and Russell's reports were included in RAND's issue paper, "The Implications of the Sept. 11 Terrorist Attacks for California." The issue paper received little notice since its release earlier this year.



5 posted on 03/17/2003 8:04:22 PM PST by The Great Satan (Revenge, Terror and Extortion: A Guide for the Perplexed)
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To: Violette
WHEN EVERY MOMENT COUNTS – BY SENATOR BILL FRIST
6 posted on 03/17/2003 8:06:26 PM PST by The Great Satan (Revenge, Terror and Extortion: A Guide for the Perplexed)
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To: The Great Satan
Dude, do you see the planes? Your article implies that in order to disperse Anthrax, it has to be done a specific way. It isn't as simple as dropping a bomb. So, during this war, what are the chances that a crop duster filled with Anthrax is going to get close to a major city...?
7 posted on 03/17/2003 8:07:30 PM PST by Violette
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To: Violette
In which country?
8 posted on 03/17/2003 8:08:37 PM PST by The Great Satan (Revenge, Terror and Extortion: A Guide for the Perplexed)
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To: The Great Satan
Any country. Flying in the United States is much easier than other countries. Here, you can charter a plane and it isn't that expensive. Other countries, chartering a plane isn't as simple nor as inexpensive. It is much more difficult in other countries than it is here.
9 posted on 03/17/2003 8:10:41 PM PST by Violette
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To: Violette
So, back to your question: very high.
10 posted on 03/17/2003 8:11:23 PM PST by The Great Satan (Revenge, Terror and Extortion: A Guide for the Perplexed)
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To: Violette
are you joking? just tonight coming home from work, I saw a cessna flying over the garden state parkway (New Jersey), about 25 miles south of NYC. he could have flown low out over the water right up into the harbor.
12 posted on 03/17/2003 8:12:01 PM PST by oceanview
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To: The Great Satan
No, not very high. Dispersing an agent like Anthrax is not a simple task. They would have more success putting it in envelopes and doing a mass mailing, than by chartering a plane (crop duster, no less) and dispersing it. The conditions have to be right for this to be so effective.
13 posted on 03/17/2003 8:13:08 PM PST by Violette
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To: oceanview
A cessna or a crop duster....?
14 posted on 03/17/2003 8:15:09 PM PST by Violette
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To: Violette
Other countries, chartering a plane isn't as simple nor as inexpensive.

I don't know where you got that idea. I remember an incident where a nouveau riche neighbor of mine in the UK rented a helicopter just so he could buzz his next-door neighbor, because he was annoyed by the volume on the guy's stereo.

15 posted on 03/17/2003 8:15:58 PM PST by The Great Satan (Revenge, Terror and Extortion: A Guide for the Perplexed)
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To: Violette
With all the morons on the road, driving is a daily risk of life.

Yep. Driving is definately more scary than some nebulous threat of biowar.

Funny thing is, I'm not so scared of driver idiots as I should be. I guess I've gotten used to them.

16 posted on 03/17/2003 8:15:58 PM PST by LibKill (The UN is of less use than dog doo in the gutter.)
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To: Violette
Two Fridays ago a small airplane flew right over my neighborhood here in a bedroom community of Phoenix. My husband was coming in from work and said "Holy sh**, did you see that plan flying over the house?" He said it was so low he thought it was going to crash. It doesn't have to be a crop duster. It simply can be equipped with a spraying device.
17 posted on 03/17/2003 8:16:19 PM PST by riri
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To: The Great Satan
The likely repercussions of a modest-sized release of anthrax into a

NEVER happen ...

18 posted on 03/17/2003 8:16:58 PM PST by _Jim (//NASA has a better safety record than NASCAR\\)
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To: Violette
Dispersing an agent like Anthrax is not a simple task.

If it's dry powder, like Saddam sent in the threats following his destruction of the WTC, it's a completely trivial task.

19 posted on 03/17/2003 8:17:34 PM PST by The Great Satan (Revenge, Terror and Extortion: A Guide for the Perplexed)
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To: Violette
bump for a bit of sanity and reason.
20 posted on 03/17/2003 8:18:08 PM PST by error99 ("I believe stupidity should hurt."...used by permission from null and void all copyrights apply...)
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