[bonesmccoy]

I think the worst-case scenario is as follows:

1. Allies launch attack against Iraq.
2. North Korea launches attack against Japan and So. Korea.
3. PLA launches against Taiwan.
4. US forces get bogged down in Iraq. Fleet is tied up in Gulf.
5. Al Q. launches biological attack against US.

Solution:
1. Allies begin destruction of Iraqi infrastructure now (with on-going discussion at UN while whittling away at Iraqi infrastructure).
2. Japan & South Korea agree upon mutual security pact against NorKor.
3. Taiwan alerts for PLA attack and launches sub/cruiser defense fleets.
4. US centcom to create mechanism to control Bagdad without permitting units on outskirts of city to collapse in. Unified arab command to march on Baghdad.
5. Immunize US population.

[Anti-Bolshevik]

You forgot another worst case scenario, one of these guys in power.

[tonycavanagh]

re : I think the worst-case scenario is as follows:

They are discussing pacification stabilization worst-case scenario not World War Three.

Once Saddam is disposed there will be a power vacuum.

The worst case scenario is that splinter groups will rise up demanding the right to secede from Iraq Proper.

Other groups will start fighting for the Iraqi leadership.

Such a scenario will mean the placing of large numbers of Troops mainly Americans in a pacification stabilization role.

The longer American troops are based there as peace keepers the more embroiled they would become in local politics/grievance, the more of a target they will become from breakaway splinter groups, pan Arab Nationalists and Islamic fundamentalists.

Tony