Thanks for the clarification,but I understood your intent in the first post.
FWIW,I'm not one of the people who expects hundreds of thousands of civilian casualities. I also agree with your assessment that the majority of the Iraqui army will desert and surrender at the first chance they get. This does nothing to alter the fact that there will be enough "true-believers" Republican Guards to wage a serious guerilla warfare against occuping troops though,and that there WILL be US troops still there 20 years from now. This war is going to be horribly expensive in the long run,both in terms of financial waste and manpower waste.