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To: traditionalist
Of course, when you start talking about non-linear specifications, you open up a whole new can of worms

I think common sense demands that it not be linear, specifically that it has more effect in high crime areas. Moreover, common sense is the most reliable guide in studying such trends. The vanity of Socialogy as a hard science that should be approached in the same show me manner as Physics or Chemestry is very annoying to reasonable people. No tightly controled repeatable experiments are involved. So the Donohue study boils down to "you can't be absolutely sure about everything Lott did". This is true, but at least Lott had some common sense!

To spell out the obvious: Concealed weapons might stop a little crime by being shot, more by being displayed, but stop the most by pontentialy existing. Thugs really really hate it when their victims might be armed. Thugs are numerous in areas high crime areas. Thus one would expect this third and most potent effect to be higher in these areas.

Left wing psychosis does not even allow for the consideration of certain obvious concepts someone being though of as a "thug". Missing the obvious in forming initial premisis for such an analysis makes it complete hogwash. Such hogwash gets Left wing faculty tenure, prestige, and influence. Resonable people are offended by this.

72 posted on 01/23/2003 1:06:25 PM PST by AndyTheBear
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To: AndyTheBear
So the Donohue study boils down to "you can't be absolutely sure about everything Lott did".

It boils down to a lot more: Lott's results are highly sensitive to minor changes in specification, and they don't hold out of sample. Hence they are highly suspect.

This is true, but at least Lott had some common sense!

I disagree. Donohue uses Lott's methodology (as well as some variations of it), so if Donohue doesn't have common sense, neither does Lott.

77 posted on 01/23/2003 1:27:05 PM PST by traditionalist
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