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Thursday, 12/19, Market WrapUp (US Dollar Hits New Lows)
Financial Sense Online ^ | 12/19/2002 | James J. Puplava

Posted on 12/19/2002 5:15:51 PM PST by rohry

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"The ability of central banks to continuously create money at will means that this money will find a home somewhere. In the 90’s it found a home in technology stocks. In this new century, it has found a new home in mortgages, real estate and consumption. This hot money is like a swarm of honeybees looking for a new place to land. It appears that this new home is commodities, especially energy, grains, and precious metals. This would seem obvious with the movement in energy, grains and metals prices this year. Many now believe that we are headed for deflation. However, there are numerous cases where a rise in commodity prices and deflation has existed side by side. More importantly throughout the annals of history it has been shown that when empires go into decline, whether Roman, Spanish, British or American, they go down with inflation."
1 posted on 12/19/2002 5:15:51 PM PST by rohry
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To: bvw; Tauzero; robnoel; kezekiel; ChadGore; Harley - Mississippi; Dukie; Matchett-PI; Moonman62; ...
Market WrapUp is delivered...
2 posted on 12/19/2002 5:16:53 PM PST by rohry
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To: rohry
Saw that the $EU is suddenly higher against the $US. It's a small move, but higher than it has been for a couple of years. Watch the trend.
3 posted on 12/19/2002 5:21:45 PM PST by RightWhale
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To: rohry
This "things" market is acting very strangely.

Gold bullion prices were up again today, as yesterday, on top of the dramatic 5-year price breakout. Gold stocks prices were down again today, as yesterday!

The disconnect here is mindboggling....

4 posted on 12/19/2002 5:43:12 PM PST by Gritty
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To: Gritty
"The disconnect here is mindboggling...."

I'm sorry, maybe I'm being thick, but what is your point?
5 posted on 12/19/2002 5:57:45 PM PST by rohry
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To: rohry

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6 posted on 12/19/2002 5:57:59 PM PST by Bob J
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To: dollylolly
neat trick. how did you join FR tomorrow? lol
8 posted on 12/19/2002 6:02:29 PM PST by Texas_Jarhead
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To: rohry; Wyatt's Torch; arete; meyer; DarkWaters; STONEWALLS; TigerLikesRooster; Ken H; MrNatural; ...
A tidbit from my e-mail:

Article by Richard Mason

Abstract: Last June the Internal Revenue Service (IRS) proposed redefining offroad vehicles to make them subject to federal excise taxes, an exemption the industry has enjoyed for 25 years. The battle is heating up.

Analysis: The revenue collecting arm of the U.S. government will hold hearings in February on a rule-making change that would impose retail excise taxes on nonfarm equipment used in offroad applications such as oil and gas drilling, and the well service/workover industry.

The proposed change involves tweaking the technical definition of a highway vehicle to include heavy equipment normally used offroad. It would mean levying a 12 percent excise tax on the carrier portion of self-propelled drilling or well service rigs when such equipment is purchased new.

Additionally, an annual heavy vehicle use tax would be imposed on equipment already in use.

While there have been few new rigs added to the fleet over the last couple of decades, the industry expects increased demand for oilfield services to spawn a new-build phase within a decade as the nation replaces a drilling and well service fleet that, on average, is 20 years old.

Additionally the IRS would broaden the collection of fuel taxes on this equipment by phasing out tax refunds for non-highway use.

Currently, oil and gas drilling contractors purchase fuel on a fully taxed basis. Using a hub-meter or other recording device, contractors document the amount of highway as opposed to non-highway operation and file for a refund at the end of each quarter based on estimates of how much fuel was consumed onsite. Industry estimates place the fuel tax portion of this proposed change at $3,500 per rig, per year.

The technical change is another in a long line of battles over diesel fuel tax, tires, and a host of other provisions from which the drilling industry has largely been protected. It would alter through administrative fiat a regulatory structure that has been in place for more than 25 years. The excise tax exemption has existed since the highway trust fund originated. Current definitions were formalized in 1977 and rely on a three-part standard for defining nonfarm offroad equipment.

For oil and gas operators, the change represents one more item that increases the contractor’s cost of business. It will show up in some form or fashion in day rates, particularly with regard to fuel costs.

The technical rule change will have a fairly broad economic impact if it is enacted. In addition to oil and gas drilling, the tax will affect general construction, particularly with regard to large mobile cranes, concrete pumpers, the timber industry, the groundwater drilling industry, the utility industry, and mining.

While numbers are hard to develop on a definitive basis, the tax would add $17.5 million annually in costs to the oil and gas drilling industry and an estimated quarter billion dollars in additional costs across all other industries.

That last number is significant. Once federal rule-making provisions reach the $100 million level, they are considered a major change and subject to greater scrutiny.

Monies would be added to the federal highway trust and used in road building or other nationwide highway projects. The irony is that few of the vehicles facing this new tax make much use of the highway system. On the drilling industry side, the impact would address trailer-mounted and self-propelled carrier drilling units.

The International Association of Drilling Contractors (IADC) estimates the average on-road travel for these vehicles at 5,000 miles or less annually. Most of the time these vehicles are onsite in remote, offroad environments boring hole to generate the nation’s oil and gas.

While agricultural machinery has been exempted from this tax thanks to the farm lobby’s political clout, the new rules could be stretched to include some farm machinery.

Though the hour is late, the tax is not a foregone conclusion. Industry trade groups were successful last September in extending the deadline for comment from September to December 4, allowing interested parties time to marshal opposition. As a technical change, the IRS was almost able to implement the proposal without general notice. However an employee in the Small Business Administration spotted the provision and alerted appropriate trade organizations. The proposed rule change subsequently generated hundreds of comments—a response level far higher than normal on issues of this kind.

Efforts to stave off the tax increase are coordinated through a Washington-based Mobile Machinery Coalition. In addition to the IADC and the Association of Energy Service Companies, coalition members include the National Association of Manufacturers, the National Federation of Independent Businesses, and trade associations in road building, the timber industry, and general construction. In all, more than 50 trade organizations are lobbying to derail the new definition.

“The irony is that at a time when the domestic economy is recovering, the IRS is proposing a tax increase on economic sectors like construction and oil and gas that are largely economically sensitive,” explained Craig Piercy, director of the Mobile Machinery Coalition. “It’s really bad economic policy.”

The change would negate to some degree accelerated depreciation provisions that were part of the post September 11 economic stimulus bill.

The Mobile Machinery Coalition has gotten more than 80 congressional representatives to state bipartisan opposition to the proposed rule change. Additionally, both the chairman and ranking member of the Senate Finance Committee have expressed opposition to the change. Senators Max Baucus (D) Montana and Chuck Grassley (R) Iowa have written IRS acting commissioner Bob Wenzel seeking postponement of any decision until after the committee takes up reauthorization of the Highway Trust Fund during the 108th Congress.

Why the change? The IRS won’t say, but some speculate it is an ongoing battle because industry has been successful at mustering political opposition to IRS rule-making provisions in this area. Additionally, political pressures to augment highway funding may be a motivator also.

The IRS has scheduled the administrative hearing for late February following the comment period, which closed last week. After a review of testimony and comments, the IRS could decide to go forward with the rules change, postpone the issue, or leave well enough alone. No one will know for a few months yet. Stay tuned.

9 posted on 12/19/2002 6:04:40 PM PST by razorback-bert
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To: Gritty
The disconnect here is mindboggling....

Options expiration week. Nothing makes much sense as prices are manipulated to influence options prices.

Richard W.

10 posted on 12/19/2002 6:06:15 PM PST by arete
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To: Gritty
Gold stock prices got somewhat ahead of the bullion price earlier this year - now they are going down a bit as the rest of equities recede. The relative prices are just stabilizing. Fear not - when gold makes its really big surge upward, gold stocks will go right along, probably even faster.
11 posted on 12/19/2002 6:08:07 PM PST by Mr. Jeeves
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To: Texas_Jarhead
"neat trick. how did you join FR tomorrow? lol"

She lives in England and seems to be a UN toaddy...
16 posted on 12/19/2002 6:15:04 PM PST by rohry
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To: razorback-bert; rohry; Wyatt's Torch; arete; meyer; DarkWaters; STONEWALLS; TigerLikesRooster; ...
Oops, it's noteworthy because it is occuring in other industries, the govt is revenue hunting.

This one, just happens to be in mine.
17 posted on 12/19/2002 6:18:06 PM PST by razorback-bert
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To: Texas_Jarhead
"neat trick. how did you join FR tomorrow? lol "

...and she seems to be another in a long line of triple-posters...

"Not that there is anything wrong with that!"
18 posted on 12/19/2002 6:18:45 PM PST by rohry
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To: rohry
Sir Alan is again out slamming the prospects of deflation. This guy needs to be put out to pasture.

Greenspan Sees No Risk of Deflation

Richard W.

19 posted on 12/19/2002 6:21:37 PM PST by arete
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To: razorback-bert
"Oops, it's noteworthy because it is occuring in other industries, the govt is revenue hunting.

This one, just happens to be in mine."

IRS needs to go. I don't care if it's a flat tax or a National Sales Tax. Beauracrats (sp?) need to be removed from tax policy...
20 posted on 12/19/2002 6:24:16 PM PST by rohry
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