Posted on 11/26/2002 7:41:37 AM PST by blam
Source: Ohio State University
Date: 11/26/2002
Loss Of Major Hub Cities Could Cripple Internet, Study Suggests
COLUMBUS, Ohio – A terrorist attack or other disaster that destroyed key telecommunications equipment in major cities would disrupt the Internet much like severe storms at airline hubs ties up the nation's air traffic, a new study suggests. Researchers at Ohio State University conducted experiments in which they simulated what would happen if a disaster crippled major nodes of the Internet – places that house the equipment where Internet traffic is collected and distributed.
The results showed that major cities that serve as Internet nodes would continue to have network access in most scenarios, although it would probably be much less functional. But smaller and medium sized cities that link to the Internet through these major hub cities could be disconnected from the entire network.
"The Internet functions much like our air traffic system," said Tony Grubesic, who co-authored the study as a doctoral student in geography at Ohio State. "If weather stops or delays traffic in a major airport hub, like Chicago's O'Hare, air passengers throughout the country may feel the effects – even if they are not traveling to Chicago. The same is true of the Internet hubs. They can affect Internet traffic through much of the country."
Grubesic, who is now an assistant professor of geography at the University of Cincinnati, conducted the study with Morton O'Kelly, professor, and Alan Murray, an associate professor, both in geography at Ohio State.
Their results appear in the February 2003 issue of the journal Telematics and Informatics.
The Internet has become more vulnerable in recent years as it has become more commercialized, Grubesic said. The earliest predecessor to the commercial Internet of today was ARPANET, a computer network developed by the Department of Defense. It was designed specifically to withstand a nuclear attack by having a decentralized network, meaning there were many routes to and from each point on the network.
But that decentralized network is expensive to build and maintain, Grubesic said. As the Internet has become commercialized, the major network providers have moved toward a "hub-and-spoke" model that funnels Internet connections through major hub cities.
"If you would pick up an octopus, all of its tentacles would come up with it," O'Kelly said. "The major Internet nodes have tentacles that connect to many other cities. If you destroyed a major Internet hub, you would also destroy all the links that are connected to it. It would have ripple effects throughout the Internet."
The biggest impact would be felt in the small and medium-size cities whose only or main connections to the Internet come through the major hub cities. Larger cities often have multiple connections to the Internet in and out of the city and would be harder to completely disconnect from the Internet.
The actual impact of a network disruption would depend on a variety of factors, such as the cities affected by the disruption. Grubesic said the most severe impacts would occur if telecommunications equipment were destroyed in the six largest Internet hubs: Los Angeles, New York, Atlanta, Dallas, Chicago, and Washington, DC.
For example, Los Angeles is a major hub location connecting other large cities in the South and West. If Los Angeles were eliminated as a node on the Internet, many other cities in California may not have Internet access. But it would also hurt Internet accessibility in Las Vegas, Phoenix, Tucson, Denver, Dallas and Houston, the study suggests.
A relevant glimpse of what could happen with the loss of a major Internet hub occurred with the Sept. 11, 2001 terrorist attack in New York City, Grubesic said. One major telecommunication hub was located at Ground Zero, and the loss of that hub disconnected three New York counties from the state of New York's computer system. In addition, several major Internet services and e-business providers were left without service for nearly two days.
Grubesic noted that there are more than 40 network provider companies that make up the backbone of the Internet. Many of these companies have agreements to help distribute each other's Internet traffic, which would help if one company's equipment was destroyed in a disaster. Still, most of the companies have hubs in the same cities and a major disaster could destroy the infrastructure of multiple networks.
For that reason, Grubesic said networks should not be concentrated too much in major cities.
"The ability for networks to re-route, re-connect and have redundancy is clearly important for the survival of the Internet in the face of disasters," Grubesic said. "That's why a more decentralized Internet had advantages over a hub-and-spoke model."
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Note: This story has been adapted from a news release issued for journalists and other members of the public. If you wish to quote any part of this story, please credit Ohio State University as the original source. You may also wish to include the following link in any citation:
http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2002/11/021126072153.htm
Or did I mis-read something a long time ago?
There's no perfect world here. The best we can do is to ensure that the system is as robust as cost permits, just as we have with other basic services such as water and electicity. (Note to self - yes, you did just refer to the Internet as a basic service. That "day in the future" has arrived.)
There are, of course, steps to be taken to protect against failures in any basic service - everyone should have emergency water stored, flashlights, fresh batteries, and enough porn on the hard drive to take him through unplanned outages. Anyhow, as long as there's a clear route between Fresno and my desk who cares about the rest?
Even HAM radio needs electricity. My main worry is the power plants all going down. Then everyone is screwed.
Who knows? It's not easy to be self sufficient when it comes to electricity.
Not easy, but possible. Uni-Solar makes solar panels, and there is a wealth of information at Home Power Magazine. There's enough electricity to keep the refrigerator working, the coffee maker going, and the radios running.
Oh, I agree, a massive terrorist attack could be likened to a Kobe earthquake - massive casualties, no warning, etc., but localized. In addition to that, though, we have the psychological impact on the rest of the nation.
That is what would be (partially) fought by information. The temporary loss of the Internet would create a black hole, within which all sorts of misinformation and rumors would sap Americans' gumption. Long-term, though, a major terrorist attack would have psychological implications so severe (loss of feeling secure, long-term plans being abandoned, etc.) that whether the Internet were up or down would not matter.
FR, dude, FR!
A lot of people on the Gulf Coast have private generators and gasoline supplies for hurricanes. I have two and 110 gallons of gasoline to support them.
I change it out yearly.
Red
Then when the terrorists strike, I'll be the only one on the internet, huh?
It's been done. www.irlp.net
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.