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Northern European Cod Collapse Predicted
Environmental News Service ^ | 10/28/2002

Posted on 10/29/2002 12:11:06 PM PST by cogitator

Northern European Cod Collapse Predicted

COPENHAGEN, Denmark, October 28, 2002 (ENS) - Scandinavians who once depended on abundant codfish as a staple food, will have to eat something else, and lovers of fish and chips will not find cod in the deep fry. Cod populations from the waters off western Norway to the Atlantic shores of Scotland are now so depleted that "all fisheries in this area that target cod should be closed," scientists from the International Council for the Exploration of the Seas (ICES) warned Friday in their latest six month report.

The chance of "a collapse must be seriously considered," scientists from the council have advised the European Commission and the European Union national governments.

CAPTION: Juvenile codfish caught in a gill net (Photo courtesy U.S. National Undersea Research Program)

The council's Advisory Committee on Fisheries Management releases two reports per year reviewing in total 135 fish and shellfish stocks. For the past 17 years, the amount of cod reproducing themselves in this area is calculated to have been below the biomass precautionary approach reference point.

Fisheries closures may give the cod in the North Sea, Skagerrak, the Irish Sea and waters west of Scotland a chance to recover from overfishing by large pelagic trawls that have brought numbers to their lowest ever recorded levels, the council says.

But even these closures might not be enough to save the cod fishery. The ICES report admits that current cod populations are "so far below historic sizes that both the biological dynamics of the stock and the operations of the fisheries are unknown."

Cod stocks in the Irish Sea remain "outside of safe biological limits," the report says, and the authors do not consider historic experience and data "reliable for medium term forecasts" of fish population dynamics under various rebuilding scenarios.

Last year, ICES warned that the "spawning stock biomass" of cod in the North Sea was at a new historic low, saying that the "risk of stock collapse is high."

As part of an emergency recovery plan, a large part of the North Sea was closed for cod fishing for 10 weeks in February, March and April 2001 to protect juvenile cod. The total allowable catch was was set at about half of the 2000 quota, and technical measures were put in place. Still, the North Sea cod have not recovered.

CAPTION: Codfish drying in Lofotens, Norway (Photo courtesy NAArc)

Cod are also caught as a by-catch in mixed fisheries, such as haddock, whiting, flatfish, shrimp and prawn fisheries.

The situation is so serious that ICES is recommending these fisheries as well as the cod fishery itself should be closed unless they can demonstrate that they are not causing a cod by-catch.

In fisheries where cod comprises solely an incidental catch, there should be stringent restrictions on the catch and discard rates of cod, the council said, and called for effective monitoring of compliance with those restrictions.

The advice of ICES' Advisory Committee on Fisheries Management forms the main scientific input to European Union ministers' annual round of bargaining over total allowable catches and national quotas, which this year threaten to be even more acrimonious than usual.

Stocks of several other commercially caught fish species, such as hake, whiting, eel and plaice, are also close to or outside safe biological limits in some sea areas, the ICES report concludes.

The council blames a method of catching fish using large pelagic, deep sea, trawls that capture all marine life in their path for the sharp decline in cod.

The pelagic fishery targets cod during the summer now, opening a whole new season. The smaller trawling vessels that once dominated the cod fishery targeted spawning cod in spring and juvenile cod in autumn and winter.

Europeans need only look across the North Atlantic to see what could be in store for their cod fishery. In 1992, the collapse of the cod stocks off the east coast of Newfoundland forced the Canadian government to close the fishery. Over 40,000 people lost their jobs.

Once the most productive cod fishing area in the northwest Atlantic, the cod fishery off southern Labrador and to the east of Newfoundland yielded an estimated annual catch of 250,000 tons for more than 100 years before the mid-1950s. From 1956, the small fishing vessels that had caught most of the cod were supplanted by large factory fishing vessels.

From then until the late 1970s, factory trawlers from Germany, Great Britain, Spain and Portugal, Poland, the Soviet Union, Cuba and East Asia had legally fished to within 12 miles of the eastern Canadian seaboard and along the U.S. coast of New England.

CAPTION: Mates filet Atlantic Cod after a fishing trip to Georges Bank. (Photo by Guliz Irtez-Gillis courtesy NOAA)

Concerned that the cod were being decimated, Canada and the United States passed legislation in 1976 to extend their national jurisdictions over marine living resources out to 200 nautical miles. The foreign factory trawlers were relegated to the high seas.

But Canada's Atlantic offshore fishing fleet took over, and by the mid-1980s, the Canadians were landing more than 250,000 tons of northern cod annually. In 1992, the commercial limit of the Newfoundland cod was reached, and Canada ordered the fishery closed.

The current state of the cod, and the failure of past measures to bring fishing mortality down to rates that allow rebuilding, mean that more stringent action is required for the North Sea, the Irish Sea, the waters off Scotland, and the waters of the Skagerrak separating Denmark, Norway and Sweden.

ICES scientists caution that any new management action taken to reduce fishing mortality on adult cod in this area should not be offset by an increase in the take of juvenile cod.


TOPICS: Culture/Society; Foreign Affairs; Front Page News; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: cod; fisheries; overfishing; resources
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Eat more salmon (farm-raised).

I wonder what Bjorn Lomborg thinks of THIS data? He's from Denmark, after all.

1 posted on 10/29/2002 12:11:06 PM PST by cogitator
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To: cogitator
Certain methods of fishing should never be allowed, as they haul in huge numbers indiscriminately and threaten extinction of the most prized stocks of fish. The only way to avoid the "tragedy of the commons" on the high seas is for the US, British and other navies to start sinking illegal vessels and/or imprisoning their owners.
2 posted on 10/29/2002 12:28:50 PM PST by Argus
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To: cogitator
Every fish stock that has ever been managed has crashed. This is another example.
3 posted on 10/29/2002 12:29:10 PM PST by Citizen Tom Paine
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To: cogitator
Northern European Cod Collapse...

Now THAT'S a humorous image.

4 posted on 10/29/2002 12:30:14 PM PST by Illbay
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To: cogitator
I wonder what Bjorn Lomborg thinks of THIS data?

Assuming he hasn't been assasinated by Green Peace for his heretical ideas....
5 posted on 10/29/2002 12:32:17 PM PST by Welsh Rabbit
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To: Argus
Wrong. Let the free market work it's magical powers. When there's no more cod then the fisheries would allow them to re-populate, and prices would rise on the cod remaining in the market.
6 posted on 10/29/2002 12:33:48 PM PST by Extremely Extreme Extremist
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To: cogitator
Once the most productive cod fishing area in the northwest Atlantic, the cod fishery off southern Labrador and to the east of Newfoundland yielded an estimated annual catch of 250,000 tons for more than 100 years before the mid-1950s.

Do I read this correctly that in the mid-1850's (a hundred years go) they were getting an estimated annual catch of 250,000 tons?

I am, like, so impressed!

7 posted on 10/29/2002 12:35:55 PM PST by ClearCase_guy
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To: ClearCase_guy
By the way, I'm not being picky for no reason. I just think environmentalists make up facts or are sloppy on purpose. Then they can point to a glorious past when (for example) cod was stupendously numerous and compare it with the present which is not so good. Then they blame humans. Never trust the data of environmentalists -- it's always tainted in some way.
8 posted on 10/29/2002 12:39:19 PM PST by ClearCase_guy
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To: ClearCase_guy
Do I read this correctly that in the mid-1850's (a hundred years go) they were getting an estimated annual catch of 250,000 tons?

When the English first came to North America the story is the cod were so thick and plentiful that it was like sailing on a carpet of fish once you were on the Grand Banks.

9 posted on 10/29/2002 12:48:12 PM PST by mitchbert
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To: Citizen Tom Paine
Every fish stock that has ever been managed has crashed. This is another example.

Not quite sure what you mean here.

Do you mean that management contributes to the collapse, or that species that require management are often too far down that road before regulation of catches begins?

Overfishing is the simple culprit, especially of younger animals as the age profile of the populations drop. Too many boats after too few fish. Seals won't be blamed either, as their populations in the region are in decline at the moment due to phocine distemper.

10 posted on 10/29/2002 12:50:56 PM PST by Youngblood
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To: mitchbert
I've heard those stories too, and they may be true. My point really was that I do not think that wooden sailing ships in 1855 were capable of bringing in 250,000 tons of code in a typical year. I think this sort of data is presented in a sloppy fashion in the article and I think that practice allows writers with an agenda to further their agenda in subtle ways.
11 posted on 10/29/2002 12:52:38 PM PST by ClearCase_guy
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To: cogitator
NYT headline:

White House Policies Result in Northern European Cod Collapse

Women and Minorities Hardest Hit

12 posted on 10/29/2002 12:54:52 PM PST by Prince Caspian
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To: cogitator
So, does this mean that from now on, no one eats cod? Or maybe only the elites eat cod? if we run our of cod are there no other species? Is mankind not to eat fish? Or is all fish going to be rationed? Who or what would we be saving the cod for? You enviro-whackos don't want anyone to have anything.
13 posted on 10/29/2002 1:01:56 PM PST by saminfl
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To: ClearCase_guy
Do I read this correctly that in the mid-1850's (a hundred years go) they were getting an estimated annual catch of 250,000 tons?

I can't quickly confirm the numbers and it may be an exaggeration (media fudge the numbers? Nah...never :)) but I did find these tidbits on the Canadian Museum of Civilization site:

"From 1500 to 1800, the waters off Newfoundland teemed with cod, attracting over one hundred thousand ships and millions of European fishermen. The cod fishery generated huge profits that surpassed even those of the fur trade."

"In 1754, a ship could catch on average 50 tons of cod over a period of six months using fishing lines."

At 50 tons per ship that would be 5,000 ships, and note that this is a statistic from a hundred years earlier. A stretch perhaps but I don't think beyond comprehension. Interesting.

14 posted on 10/29/2002 1:02:53 PM PST by mitchbert
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To: saminfl
If all else fails, Norskis have their leutfisk...
15 posted on 10/29/2002 1:04:38 PM PST by Eric in the Ozarks
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To: cogitator
So is Northern Europe stocking up on codpieces in advance of the collapse?
16 posted on 10/29/2002 1:04:53 PM PST by VadeRetro
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To: Eric in the Ozarks
"If all else fails, Norskis have their leutfisk..."

That is made from cod fillets.

17 posted on 10/29/2002 1:12:08 PM PST by Redleg Duke
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To: Extremely Extreme Extremist
Free market would do little to stop many of the fish takers. Not to mention that it is possible for a species not to comeback. The Toutouva in the Gulf of Calif. are one example. By the time they were protected it was too late. These fish stocks are too important to be let go extinct.
18 posted on 10/29/2002 1:16:27 PM PST by willyone
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To: cogitator
Are you sure you meant Cod, and not "Codpiece"?
19 posted on 10/29/2002 1:17:09 PM PST by Vinnie_Vidi_Vici
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To: willyone
Totuava is not extinct (yet), just overfished. Given proper enforcement of the laws, they will eventually come back just like the sardine off California.
20 posted on 10/29/2002 1:31:30 PM PST by aught-6
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