[razorback-bert]

U.S. Future Inflation Gauge


Our group of researchers, led by Geoffrey H. Moore, pioneered the creation of leading inflation indexes. This work began two decades ago in the wake of the 1970s stagflation when weak growth was accompanied by high inflation, demonstrating that cycles in growth and inflation, while related, were distinct. In the late 1990s growth and inflation again de-linked with strong growth now accompanied by subdued inflation.

The monthly FIG has a mean lead of 11 months and a median lead of 9 months at inflation cycle turns.

Release Date: First week of following month, e.g., January data is available in the first week of February.

Click on link for more information.


http://www.businesscycle.com/freedata.php#

[arete]

My advice is this: unless you are adept at trading and have thorough knowledge of technical analysis, or have a very clear understanding of fundamentals, you should stay out of this storm and head for a safe harbor.

Cash is king and gold is better.

Richard W.

[Cicero]

Treasuries and gold look to me as if they have about completed their recent short-term corrections. If gold holds over the 315 support level that it briefly broke through last week, it may go back up for a while, at least to the resistance at 330. The technicals now look good.

Interest rates corrected savagely this past week or two after a long and very substantial run-up, but that correction looks as if it may have run its course too.

[B4Ranch]

What is a ten-sigma event?