Posted on 10/17/2002 4:35:13 AM PDT by Paul_B
Increasing numbers of black and Hispanic voters will doom the GOP's chances for electoral success by 2008.
That's the assessment - not from conservative immigration opponent Pat Buchanan but instead from America's pre-eminent political strategist, Dick Morris.
"The Hispanic and black population increase, particularly the Hispanic population, has made New Jersey and New York and California and is making Florida into solidly Democratic states," Morris told nationally syndicated radio host Sean Hannity on Tuesday.
"Four years from now - and eight years from now - the Republican Party will be fighting for its life because of this," he warned.
Morris noted that in the 1988 presidential election, then-Vice President George Bush defeated Democrat Gov. Michael Dukakis in New Jersey's Bergen County by 15 points. Just 12 years later, he noted, then-Vice President Al Gore beat Bush's son by 15 points in the same county.
"It's flipped 30 points between 1988 and 2000," said Morris. "That is what the Republican Party is facing all over the place."
The one-time Clinton political guru predicted that Bush's home state of Texas would be the next big state to swing Democrat.
Morris' advice to the GOP?
"Nominate Colin Powell for president," he told Hannity, explaining that such a move would finally shatter the illusion that the GOP doesn't care about minorities. "That's the magnitude of the gesture that will be necessary to make this work."
"That's the race in '08," he added. "Powell against Hillary."
unless the GOP becomes nothing more than an affirmative action, multiculturalist carbon copy of the Democrat Party.
What do you mean "becomes?" Affirmative action is still the law of the land, and the dominant Anglo culture of the US is being nailed into the coffin. Illegals pour into the country faster than we can assimilate them, and that does not count the legal immigrants they bring.
Honestly, what difference is there in the GOP and Dems? I'm talking reality, not on paper. The GOP has been running left since '87 and it isn't going to stop.
Keep voting for the lesser of two evils, but don't be surprised when evil-light makes your life a living hell.
We now return you to you regularly scheduled Friends rerun, your Botox, Viagra, Ford Extinction, and the latest ramp-job on Wall Street.
Don't worry, be content.
As Hispanics become middle-class, they will become more Republican.
Pure, unadultarated, RNC spin. Where do you see mestizos voting for GOP in any significant numbers. Not Texas, California, New Mexico, New York, New Jersey, Arizona, Colorado, or Washington. You only have the original immigrants from Cuba, and they are defecting to the Dems.
The RNC puts out this hopeless lie because if the GOP voters ever threw them out and took a stand against immigration, labor costs would rise.
The Pubbies are not your friends.
Hispanics are not a monolithic voting block.
Funny, they are in California, New York, and in the Texas gov race. Where does your experience differ?
I say nominate Condi Rice or, perhaps a Guiliana/Rice ticket. Republicans should trump the rats by being the first to offer a black and female candidate.
Clearly the dumbest idea ever posted on FR. I'm serious.
Has the GOP been reduced to tokenism? White guys need not apply? Are we a nation of race voters, and we need to pander?
The political reality is the RATS could run a Klansman and the Pubbies could run a black-female-homosexual-Indian-unwed-single mom-against nuclear energy, and the non-white male crowd would still vote RAT better than 3-1. You would only serve to chase the straight-white-male vote from the Pubbies.
What happened to "wedge" issues?
There are several factors in the loss of virtually all the Northeast (except Pennsylvania away from metro Philadelphia and the union strongholds, the Delmarva region, and New Hampshire north of the Boston commuter range) to the GOP and conservatism.
1. The Northeast (and Greater Chicago) is the stronghold of non-Hispanic Catholicism. As the Catholic Church has been penetrated by liberalism, the social teachings of that church have favored big government and the welfare state, swaying many of its parishoners in that direction. While white Catholics (German Catholics excepted) have historically been predominantly Democratic, their unrest was notable with respect to foreign intervention in the 1930s and with regard to moral permissiveness and lax law enforcement in the 1960s. In 1969, Kevin Phillips predicted, in his book, The Emerging Republican Majority, a decades long GOP ascendancy based on two groups switching allegiance: Anglo-Protestant Southerners and white Catholics. Despite some movement in that direction under Nixon and Reagan, white Catholics still remain to a considerable extent in the Democrat camp, due in part to the influence of their church's teachings and leadership.
2. The Northeast (and the Great Lakes region as well) is also the bastion of liberal academia. Many Yankees of the Baby Boom generation or later have undergone a Hillary Clinton-type transformation from political conservatism to liberalism as a result of the college experience. Too many sons and daughters of "rock-ribbed Republicans" returned after graduation from colleges psot-1960 to Lake County, Illinois or Montgomery County, Pennsylvania and helped turn their home turf over to liberalism.
3. The post World War II migration of the descendants of East European Jews from the inner cities to the suburbs, especially in the Northeast, but also in Chicago and Los Angeles, must be considered. Clearly the most leftist group in the European descended population, they thrived in the American environment with its market economy and relative ease of access to education. However, even if many Jews did well in business or in the professions, they incorrectly saw in American conservatism the shades of the Black Hundreds or the Brown Shirts. Thus, until very recently, the Jewish-Democratic allegiance was rock-solid.
The "browning of America" does not bode well in the long run. However, we must recognize the rot of several generations of liberal dominance in academia and the mass media and its ill effect on white Americans whose families have lived in this country for three or more generations.
From Fox News:
"In the survey, given in both Spanish and English to 1,000 Hispanic-Americans, 65 percent of which were of Mexican descent, registered voters gave Bush a 68 percent approval rating, while non-registered Hispanics gave him a 74 percent approval rating. They also said they prefer Bush over his 2000 opponent Vice President Al Gore 50 percent to 35 percent -- turning on its head a 2001 survey finding Gore ahead of Bush 54 percent to 28 percent."
"John McLaughlin, the pollster who conducted the survey on behalf of the coalition, said the president’s popularity has trickled down into the Republican Party, bumping up the GOP's job approval rating among Latinos to 42 percent from 23 percent in 2001. On the contrary, Democrats slipped in this regard, with respondents giving them a 48 percent approval rating, as opposed to 55 percent last year."
---Hispanics are not just blindly following the Democrats like Blacks have been for the last 30 years.
Just because someone thinks GWB is doing a good job does not preclude them from voting RAT.
I do thank you for your source. I hope you are right, but I think it is about as futile as seeing a water sunrise from a California beach.
FReep on,
-Orion
Au contraire!
Running qualified and conservative female or minority candidates need not be pandering. We have a good candidate in Condi and she should be front and center, so to speak.
If as Republicans, we think that we can prevail without attracting these constituencies we are sadly (and tragically) mistaken.
Our role has to be to continue to educate people on our beliefs so they can see why they should stand with us. Many times we have done a poor job with this. One of our best spokeman in this regard is Rush, IMHO. It's a slow process, but we must do it.
BTW, Rudy's not white??
You're right about that. Everywhere I look, areas that were over 90% white just five years ago are now only 65-70% white. Whites move further away from the city center, replacing the areas where they left is a variable cornicopia of anyone from elsewhere all over the globe. China, India, Pakistan, Mexico, elsewhere in Latin America, you name it.
The immigration policy of the US is absurd, for playing social diversity with immigration is a disaster or a recipe for a weakened future America. If one really thinks that "our strength is in our diversity", all one has to do is notice that as one group or many foreign groups start to move into one area, whites move out. The same thing happens in the reverse in the few times that whites move into a majority minority area. However, that is a rarity, for whites are still the majority, and the bulging minority population has fewer "areas" of which to live, hence they move into majority white areas. Knowing this, and knowing that whites will leave and not buy-in to the area, with help from real estate agents, they don't hesitate to continue moving into the area once they've reached a threshold percentage of fifteen to twenty percent.
This is now happening on a wide-scale all across the country, and anyone who tries to claim that everything will work out fine as a result of the ever-emerging presence of multiple languages spoken by individuals who do not blend into the dominant cultural and racial stock must be mistaken.
At best, we'll transform into a Brazil. A weak, second-world country. At worst, we'll turn into a third world hole. The former looks most likely.
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