To: RightWhale
"Looking at the last two days from the point of the war vote in Congress, the question is whether cries for war affect the market, and if so, how."
I don't think the war vote was a big factor in the last two day's rally.
"Since it has been a while, 11 years since the Gulf War and 60 years since WW II, there isn't much data to go on."
The data doesn't matter. There is a much higher percentage of novices in the market than at any point in history. In WW II a very small percentage of the public was in the stock market. Before the Gulf War there was a fraction of the people in the market than now. We are in uncharted territory...
5 posted on
10/11/2002 5:12:39 PM PDT by
rohry
To: rohry
I don't think the war vote was a big factor in the last two day's rally. No, I don't think so, either. The effect, if any, of the war decision will be seen in the months ahead. Uncharted territory as you say.
To: rohry
The data doesn't matter. There is a much higher percentage of novices in the market than at any point in history. In WW II a very small percentage of the public was in the stock market. Before the Gulf War there was a fraction of the people in the market than now. We are in uncharted territory... I'd like to see some convergence towards a lack of volatility before I start gambling personal funds. We aren't anywhere near that.
8 posted on
10/11/2002 5:31:15 PM PDT by
EVO X
To: rohry
We are in uncharted territory... That we are. There were a few solid and better than expected earnings reports in today and that helped. Wall Street has known for some time now that Congress was going to back the President, so I think that had nothing to do with the recent upward movement.
Those who have converted to cash recently may be getting a little antsy now and think about getting back in perhaps. We'll see soon enough.
9 posted on
10/11/2002 5:33:30 PM PDT by
Cagey
To: rohry
as always, thanks Rohry!...
"There is a much higher percentage of novices in the market than at any point in history. In WW II a very small percentage of the public was in the stock market. Before the Gulf War there was a fraction of the people in the market than now. We are in uncharted territory..."
.....I agree....and not only is the territory uncharted but it has the potential to move with a speed that would have been unthinkable in the past.....
Good luck to everybody!
Stonewalls
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