11% ...-/+ 4% for party polls = Franky is up by approx 7% Maybe. While 3-5% is a good rule of thumb for party polls, it is sometimes much higher than that. In the absence of any other polling, there's really no way to gauge the accuracy of these numbers.
11% ...-/+ 4% for party polls = Franky is up by approx 7% I'm thinking Forrester is still leading and that has the Dems very nervous. Why would they:
A) Reveal their inside poll at all
B) Not reveal how the poll was conducted (what was the question, what geographic areas were contacted, how the polling was done, etc.)
The only answer is that they created this poll for PR purposes only. If there was a real poll showing this kind of a lead, they would proudly reveal the methodology behind it.