Isidore, will she turn north?

[jpsb]

The other active thread has getting a little long and loading slow. lot's of graphics.

But the big question for all Gulf Coast Freepers is "Will Isidore Turn North?" Three of five computer models say yes. Any expert care to way in? What would cause a turn to the north? How would we recogise the early signs of a change in direction. etc, etc, etc.

[jpsb]

Here is where I get my info

model forecast tracks

hmmmm, make that 4 out of 5 predicting a turn to the north.

[RobFromGa]

What would cause a turn to the north?

Maybe a really humongous trailer park? (or do they only attract tornados?)

[Vinnie]

Thanks for the new thread. I was about to request one. We should start a new one with every new forcast IMHO

[jpsb]

You are welcome, I just had an expert bump list prepared but lost power of a second and the computer rebooted. Guess I need a new UPS. gonna try again.

[DJtex]

I lived on the Texas Gulf Coast for over 20 years. They always turn north. This one will probably hit someplace south of Brownsville, but I bet that Texas is going to feel it.

[Catspaw]

It looks like Progresso is getting whomped or going to be whomped very soon. We were there a number of years ago & wanted help finding the road to Celestun. We asked a guard at their mile-long pier who told us, "The sea...she took it." I doubt if the road was ever rebuilt.

Isidore is still a category 3. I thought she'd build up to a 4 overnight, but so far, she seems stable. It does look like landfall could be anywhere from south of Veracruz to around Galveston.

[Tazlo]

Even though it's a "her-icane," I believe Isidore is a "he."

[jpsb]

Bumping experts and other interested parties.

[blam]

Looks like the LBAR forecast is going right up the Sabine river.

[Dog Gone]

You just want my opinion so that you can disagree with it!

[Kermit]

I don't care what they say, hurricanes and ships are female. Just call her Isidora, she's cross-dressing.;^)

[jpsb]

You are on it. :)

From what I can gather is that a weak high ridge is perventing a turn to the north. But a shortwave (whatever that is) is suppost to break the high and Issy will be sucked north by a low trof. So I guess we need to watch for the trof to develop. I can't see any sign of that yet, but most of the models say it's gonna happen.

[catfish1957]

Thanks for the link...I've bookmarked it.

Here's hoping the LEAR is off....otherwise a direct hit for us.

[catfish1957]

Excuse me... I meant LBAR

[jpsb]

Maybe, maybe not, anyway I figured you be here either way so why not invite you? What do ya think? Will she turn north? I do.

[Giddyupgo]

Put me on bump list too.....I'm in the BIg Bend.

[Tazlo]

I don't care what they say, hurricanes and ships are female.

Hee-hee. Except Andrew and Gilbert and Hugo.

[FireTrack]

Bump